China leads the market at 62.5% because Kremlin officials, including Yuri Ushakov and Dmitry Peskov, have repeatedly confirmed that a bilateral or trilateral Trump-Putin-Xi meeting on the sidelines of the November 18-19 APEC summit in Shenzhen was discussed during recent SCO talks and the September 8 Trump-Putin phone call. This venue offers a scheduled multilateral platform with all three leaders expected to attend, aligning with ongoing U.S.-Russia diplomatic efforts to advance Ukraine negotiations. The 30.5% probability of no meeting by year-end reflects the absence of a confirmed bilateral date and Trump's stated requirement for concrete progress on a peace deal before any further summit. Other locations remain under 4% amid a lack of comparable scheduling signals or host confirmations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiChina 63%
No meeting by December 31 31%
United States 3.8%
Gulf country <1%
$1,159,737 Vol.
$1,159,737 Vol.

China
63%

No meeting by December 31
31%

United States
4%

Gulf country
1%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Russia
1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 63%
No meeting by December 31 31%
United States 3.8%
Gulf country <1%
$1,159,737 Vol.
$1,159,737 Vol.

China
63%

No meeting by December 31
31%

United States
4%

Gulf country
1%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Russia
1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...China leads the market at 62.5% because Kremlin officials, including Yuri Ushakov and Dmitry Peskov, have repeatedly confirmed that a bilateral or trilateral Trump-Putin-Xi meeting on the sidelines of the November 18-19 APEC summit in Shenzhen was discussed during recent SCO talks and the September 8 Trump-Putin phone call. This venue offers a scheduled multilateral platform with all three leaders expected to attend, aligning with ongoing U.S.-Russia diplomatic efforts to advance Ukraine negotiations. The 30.5% probability of no meeting by year-end reflects the absence of a confirmed bilateral date and Trump's stated requirement for concrete progress on a peace deal before any further summit. Other locations remain under 4% amid a lack of comparable scheduling signals or host confirmations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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