Recent Kremlin statements highlight the possibility of a trilateral Trump-Putin-Xi meeting on the sidelines of the November 2026 APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, following direct discussions between the U.S. and Russian leaders earlier this month. These signals, tied to ongoing Ukraine diplomacy and broader U.S.-Russia engagement efforts, have concentrated trader expectations on a China venue. The substantial share assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects uncertainty over attendance confirmations, scheduling constraints, and the absence of finalized bilateral plans outside multilateral forums. Lower probabilities for alternatives such as Gulf states, Turkey, or neutral European sites stem from the lack of comparable recent diplomatic momentum or official indications favoring those locations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China 56%
No meeting by December 31 35%
Gulf country 2.6%
Russia 2.1%
$943,150 Vol.
$943,150 Vol.

China
56%

No meeting by December 31
35%

Gulf country
3%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Japan
1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 56%
No meeting by December 31 35%
Gulf country 2.6%
Russia 2.1%
$943,150 Vol.
$943,150 Vol.

China
56%

No meeting by December 31
35%

Gulf country
3%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Japan
1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Kremlin statements highlight the possibility of a trilateral Trump-Putin-Xi meeting on the sidelines of the November 2026 APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, following direct discussions between the U.S. and Russian leaders earlier this month. These signals, tied to ongoing Ukraine diplomacy and broader U.S.-Russia engagement efforts, have concentrated trader expectations on a China venue. The substantial share assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects uncertainty over attendance confirmations, scheduling constraints, and the absence of finalized bilateral plans outside multilateral forums. Lower probabilities for alternatives such as Gulf states, Turkey, or neutral European sites stem from the lack of comparable recent diplomatic momentum or official indications favoring those locations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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