Ukraine's ongoing full-scale war with Russia has produced no sustained ceasefire or verified diplomatic breakthrough as of September 2026, leaving the legal and security preconditions for a nationwide referendum on territorial or peace terms unmet. Ukrainian law and martial-law provisions bar such votes without extended security guarantees, while Russian demands for full cession of claimed regions remain incompatible with Kyiv's positions. Recent U.S.-mediated proposals, including a free economic zone in Donbas, have been rejected by Moscow, and Zelenskyy has tied any referendum to at least 60 days of verified calm plus voter safety. With only months remaining before 2027, the absence of these conditions underpins the 97.5 percent trader consensus against passage. A rapid, verifiable ceasefire before year-end remains the principal scenario that could still alter the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
3% peluang
$67,474 Vol.
$67,474 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% peluang
$67,474 Vol.
$67,474 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukraine's ongoing full-scale war with Russia has produced no sustained ceasefire or verified diplomatic breakthrough as of September 2026, leaving the legal and security preconditions for a nationwide referendum on territorial or peace terms unmet. Ukrainian law and martial-law provisions bar such votes without extended security guarantees, while Russian demands for full cession of claimed regions remain incompatible with Kyiv's positions. Recent U.S.-mediated proposals, including a free economic zone in Donbas, have been rejected by Moscow, and Zelenskyy has tied any referendum to at least 60 days of verified calm plus voter safety. With only months remaining before 2027, the absence of these conditions underpins the 97.5 percent trader consensus against passage. A rapid, verifiable ceasefire before year-end remains the principal scenario that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$67,474Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukraine's ongoing full-scale war with Russia has produced no sustained ceasefire or verified diplomatic breakthrough as of September 2026, leaving the legal and security preconditions for a nationwide referendum on territorial or peace terms unmet. Ukrainian law and martial-law provisions bar such votes without extended security guarantees, while Russian demands for full cession of claimed regions remain incompatible with Kyiv's positions. Recent U.S.-mediated proposals, including a free economic zone in Donbas, have been rejected by Moscow, and Zelenskyy has tied any referendum to at least 60 days of verified calm plus voter safety. With only months remaining before 2027, the absence of these conditions underpins the 97.5 percent trader consensus against passage. A rapid, verifiable ceasefire before year-end remains the principal scenario that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$67,474Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's ongoing full-scale war with Russia has produced no sustained ceasefire or verified diplomatic breakthrough as of September 2026, leaving the legal and security preconditions for a nationwide referendum on territorial or peace terms unmet. Ukrainian law and martial-law provisions bar such votes without extended security guarantees, while Russian demands for full cession of claimed regions remain incompatible with Kyiv's positions. Recent U.S.-mediated proposals, including a free economic zone in Donbas, have been rejected by Moscow, and Zelenskyy has tied any referendum to at least 60 days of verified calm plus voter safety. With only months remaining before 2027, the absence of these conditions underpins the 97.5 percent trader consensus against passage. A rapid, verifiable ceasefire before year-end remains the principal scenario that could still alter the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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