Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement and subsequent UNSC endorsement by year-end. The June 2026 Islamabad MOU, which outlined a 60-day window for a comprehensive deal including sanctions relief and nuclear provisions, expired in August without resolution, amid resumed hostilities and the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed. Iran has since conveyed new conditions via mediators for restarting talks, while IAEA access to nuclear sites remains restricted. Most significantly, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft resolution in mid-September to extend sanctions monitoring, underscoring P5 divisions that would likely block any endorsing resolution. With substantive negotiations stalled and the December 31 deadline approaching, trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and lack of momentum toward a completed agreement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
14% peluang
$242,757 Vol.
$242,757 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
14% peluang
$242,757 Vol.
$242,757 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement and subsequent UNSC endorsement by year-end. The June 2026 Islamabad MOU, which outlined a 60-day window for a comprehensive deal including sanctions relief and nuclear provisions, expired in August without resolution, amid resumed hostilities and the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed. Iran has since conveyed new conditions via mediators for restarting talks, while IAEA access to nuclear sites remains restricted. Most significantly, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft resolution in mid-September to extend sanctions monitoring, underscoring P5 divisions that would likely block any endorsing resolution. With substantive negotiations stalled and the December 31 deadline approaching, trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and lack of momentum toward a completed agreement.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$242,757Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement and subsequent UNSC endorsement by year-end. The June 2026 Islamabad MOU, which outlined a 60-day window for a comprehensive deal including sanctions relief and nuclear provisions, expired in August without resolution, amid resumed hostilities and the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed. Iran has since conveyed new conditions via mediators for restarting talks, while IAEA access to nuclear sites remains restricted. Most significantly, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft resolution in mid-September to extend sanctions monitoring, underscoring P5 divisions that would likely block any endorsing resolution. With substantive negotiations stalled and the December 31 deadline approaching, trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and lack of momentum toward a completed agreement.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$242,757Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement and subsequent UNSC endorsement by year-end. The June 2026 Islamabad MOU, which outlined a 60-day window for a comprehensive deal including sanctions relief and nuclear provisions, expired in August without resolution, amid resumed hostilities and the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed. Iran has since conveyed new conditions via mediators for restarting talks, while IAEA access to nuclear sites remains restricted. Most significantly, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft resolution in mid-September to extend sanctions monitoring, underscoring P5 divisions that would likely block any endorsing resolution. With substantive negotiations stalled and the December 31 deadline approaching, trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and lack of momentum toward a completed agreement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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