Recent geopolitical tensions and elevated oil prices have pushed 30-year mortgage rates to 6.71-6.83% as of early September 2026, up from lows near 6.1% earlier in the year, as 10-year Treasury yields reflect sticky inflation above the Fed’s 2% target and expectations for a hold or hike at the September FOMC. Trader sentiment on Polymarket thresholds centers on whether persistent energy-driven price pressures and the new Fed chair’s hawkish signals will sustain yields near current levels or allow moderation if data cool. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, labor market reports, and the September 15-16 policy decision, which directly influence the 10-year benchmark and mortgage spreads.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
$79,286 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
↑ 7.50%
11%
↑ 7.25%
20%
↑ 7.00%
50%
↑ 6.75%
98%
↓ 6.50%
53%
↓ 6.25%
26%
↓ 6.00%
14%
↓ 5.90%
8%
↓ 5.70%
6%
↓ 5.50%
4%
$79,286 Vol.
↑ 7.50%
$71 Vol.
11%
↑ 7.25%
$1,352 Vol.
20%
↑ 7.00%
$4,533 Vol.
50%
↑ 6.75%
$4,481 Vol.
98%
↓ 6.50%
$6,836 Vol.
53%
↓ 6.25%
$804 Vol.
26%
↓ 6.00%
$2,784 Vol.
14%
↓ 5.90%
$10,903 Vol.
8%
↓ 5.70%
$8,217 Vol.
6%
↓ 5.50%
$2,304 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent geopolitical tensions and elevated oil prices have pushed 30-year mortgage rates to 6.71-6.83% as of early September 2026, up from lows near 6.1% earlier in the year, as 10-year Treasury yields reflect sticky inflation above the Fed’s 2% target and expectations for a hold or hike at the September FOMC. Trader sentiment on Polymarket thresholds centers on whether persistent energy-driven price pressures and the new Fed chair’s hawkish signals will sustain yields near current levels or allow moderation if data cool. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, labor market reports, and the September 15-16 policy decision, which directly influence the 10-year benchmark and mortgage spreads.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$79,286Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent geopolitical tensions and elevated oil prices have pushed 30-year mortgage rates to 6.71-6.83% as of early September 2026, up from lows near 6.1% earlier in the year, as 10-year Treasury yields reflect sticky inflation above the Fed’s 2% target and expectations for a hold or hike at the September FOMC. Trader sentiment on Polymarket thresholds centers on whether persistent energy-driven price pressures and the new Fed chair’s hawkish signals will sustain yields near current levels or allow moderation if data cool. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, labor market reports, and the September 15-16 policy decision, which directly influence the 10-year benchmark and mortgage spreads.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volume
$79,286Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions and elevated oil prices have pushed 30-year mortgage rates to 6.71-6.83% as of early September 2026, up from lows near 6.1% earlier in the year, as 10-year Treasury yields reflect sticky inflation above the Fed’s 2% target and expectations for a hold or hike at the September FOMC. Trader sentiment on Polymarket thresholds centers on whether persistent energy-driven price pressures and the new Fed chair’s hawkish signals will sustain yields near current levels or allow moderation if data cool. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, labor market reports, and the September 15-16 policy decision, which directly influence the 10-year benchmark and mortgage spreads.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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