Democrats hold a 56.5% implied probability of winning all four core Senate contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine, reflecting the closely contested status of each race eight weeks before the November 3 election. Incumbent Jon Ossoff faces a Republican challenger in Georgia, while open seats in Michigan and North Carolina feature competitive matchups with strong Democratic recruitment, including former Governor Roy Cooper in the latter. In Maine, Susan Collins confronts a Democratic opponent amid polling that shows narrow margins across the quartet. Recent polling averages and handicapper updates place these battlegrounds in toss-up or slight Democratic-leaning territory, driven by the national environment and candidate positioning, though simultaneous victories remain sensitive to turnout patterns and late shifts in voter sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
56% peluang
$22,157 Vol.
$22,157 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
56% peluang
$22,157 Vol.
$22,157 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Democrats hold a 56.5% implied probability of winning all four core Senate contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine, reflecting the closely contested status of each race eight weeks before the November 3 election. Incumbent Jon Ossoff faces a Republican challenger in Georgia, while open seats in Michigan and North Carolina feature competitive matchups with strong Democratic recruitment, including former Governor Roy Cooper in the latter. In Maine, Susan Collins confronts a Democratic opponent amid polling that shows narrow margins across the quartet. Recent polling averages and handicapper updates place these battlegrounds in toss-up or slight Democratic-leaning territory, driven by the national environment and candidate positioning, though simultaneous victories remain sensitive to turnout patterns and late shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$22,157Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Democrats hold a 56.5% implied probability of winning all four core Senate contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine, reflecting the closely contested status of each race eight weeks before the November 3 election. Incumbent Jon Ossoff faces a Republican challenger in Georgia, while open seats in Michigan and North Carolina feature competitive matchups with strong Democratic recruitment, including former Governor Roy Cooper in the latter. In Maine, Susan Collins confronts a Democratic opponent amid polling that shows narrow margins across the quartet. Recent polling averages and handicapper updates place these battlegrounds in toss-up or slight Democratic-leaning territory, driven by the national environment and candidate positioning, though simultaneous victories remain sensitive to turnout patterns and late shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Volume
$22,157Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats hold a 56.5% implied probability of winning all four core Senate contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine, reflecting the closely contested status of each race eight weeks before the November 3 election. Incumbent Jon Ossoff faces a Republican challenger in Georgia, while open seats in Michigan and North Carolina feature competitive matchups with strong Democratic recruitment, including former Governor Roy Cooper in the latter. In Maine, Susan Collins confronts a Democratic opponent amid polling that shows narrow margins across the quartet. Recent polling averages and handicapper updates place these battlegrounds in toss-up or slight Democratic-leaning territory, driven by the national environment and candidate positioning, though simultaneous victories remain sensitive to turnout patterns and late shifts in voter sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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