Google's repeated delays to its next frontier Gemini Pro model—teased for June at I/O 2026 and then slipped into July—continue to shape trader views, with recent emphasis on iterative Gemini 3.8 Flash releases instead. The company has prioritized cost-effective Flash variants and internal testing feedback over rushing the higher-capability Pro, amid leadership shifts at DeepMind and competitive benchmarks where rivals lead. This dynamic supports the closely matched odds favoring mid-to-late October windows or no release by November 1. Key near-term catalysts include potential partner testing updates or earnings commentary on frontier model timelines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNo release by November 1 24%
October 12–October 18 23%
September 28–October 4 12.9%
October 5–October 11 12.0%
$46,553 Vol.
$46,553 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
September 7–September 13
4%
September 14–September 20
4%
September 21–September 27
8%
September 28–October 4
13%
October 5–October 11
12%
October 12–October 18
23%
October 19–October 25
14%
October 26–November 1
13%
No release by November 1
24%
No release by November 1 24%
October 12–October 18 23%
September 28–October 4 12.9%
October 5–October 11 12.0%
$46,553 Vol.
$46,553 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
September 7–September 13
$1,554 Vol.
4%
September 14–September 20
$412 Vol.
4%
September 21–September 27
$549 Vol.
8%
September 28–October 4
$619 Vol.
13%
October 5–October 11
$413 Vol.
12%
October 12–October 18
$2,507 Vol.
23%
October 19–October 25
$438 Vol.
14%
October 26–November 1
$558 Vol.
13%
No release by November 1
$38,210 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays to its next frontier Gemini Pro model—teased for June at I/O 2026 and then slipped into July—continue to shape trader views, with recent emphasis on iterative Gemini 3.8 Flash releases instead. The company has prioritized cost-effective Flash variants and internal testing feedback over rushing the higher-capability Pro, amid leadership shifts at DeepMind and competitive benchmarks where rivals lead. This dynamic supports the closely matched odds favoring mid-to-late October windows or no release by November 1. Key near-term catalysts include potential partner testing updates or earnings commentary on frontier model timelines.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Volume
$46,553Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays to its next frontier Gemini Pro model—teased for June at I/O 2026 and then slipped into July—continue to shape trader views, with recent emphasis on iterative Gemini 3.8 Flash releases instead. The company has prioritized cost-effective Flash variants and internal testing feedback over rushing the higher-capability Pro, amid leadership shifts at DeepMind and competitive benchmarks where rivals lead. This dynamic supports the closely matched odds favoring mid-to-late October windows or no release by November 1. Key near-term catalysts include potential partner testing updates or earnings commentary on frontier model timelines.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$46,553Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's repeated delays to its next frontier Gemini Pro model—teased for June at I/O 2026 and then slipped into July—continue to shape trader views, with recent emphasis on iterative Gemini 3.8 Flash releases instead. The company has prioritized cost-effective Flash variants and internal testing feedback over rushing the higher-capability Pro, amid leadership shifts at DeepMind and competitive benchmarks where rivals lead. This dynamic supports the closely matched odds favoring mid-to-late October windows or no release by November 1. Key near-term catalysts include potential partner testing updates or earnings commentary on frontier model timelines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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