With the Parti Québécois leading recent polls at around 29% ahead of the October 5 election, trader consensus assigns the Parti Libéral du Québec the highest probability of finishing third due to its regional concentration on Montreal Island and softer results elsewhere. The Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground to 23-24% under new leader Christine Fréchette, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec holds 15-16% with strength in the Quebec City area, creating a fragmented battle for second and third place. Québec Solidaire trails further back near 10%. Late-campaign shifts in francophone support and turnout in battleground ridings remain key variables that could alter final rankings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPLQ 70%
CAQ 18%
PQ 6.6%
QS 1.6%
$10,706 Vol.
$10,706 Vol.

PLQ
70%

CAQ
18%

PQ
7%

QS
2%

PCQ
1%

PVQ
<1%
PLQ 70%
CAQ 18%
PQ 6.6%
QS 1.6%
$10,706 Vol.
$10,706 Vol.

PLQ
70%

CAQ
18%

PQ
7%

QS
2%

PCQ
1%

PVQ
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the Parti Québécois leading recent polls at around 29% ahead of the October 5 election, trader consensus assigns the Parti Libéral du Québec the highest probability of finishing third due to its regional concentration on Montreal Island and softer results elsewhere. The Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground to 23-24% under new leader Christine Fréchette, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec holds 15-16% with strength in the Quebec City area, creating a fragmented battle for second and third place. Québec Solidaire trails further back near 10%. Late-campaign shifts in francophone support and turnout in battleground ridings remain key variables that could alter final rankings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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