Recent polls show the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 29 percent while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed into second place at roughly 23–24 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party at 22 percent and the Parti conservateur du Québec at 15 percent. This shift under new CAQ leader Christine Fréchette has lifted trader consensus on CAQ finishing second, reflected in its elevated market price. Regional strength outside Montreal and among older voters supports CAQ's position in seat projections, though the race remains fluid with 42 percent of decided voters open to changing preferences. The October 5 election timeline and ongoing campaign debates continue to shape these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCAQ 64%
PLQ 18%
PQ 16%
PVQ <1%
$16,945 Vol.
$16,945 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
CAQ
64%
PLQ
18%
PQ
16%
PVQ
1%
QS
<1%
PCQ
<1%
CAQ 64%
PLQ 18%
PQ 16%
PVQ <1%
$16,945 Vol.
$16,945 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
CAQ
$4,539 Vol.
64%
PLQ
$4,667 Vol.
18%
PQ
$4,111 Vol.
16%
PVQ
$1,226 Vol.
1%
QS
$1,498 Vol.
<1%
PCQ
$904 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 29 percent while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed into second place at roughly 23–24 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party at 22 percent and the Parti conservateur du Québec at 15 percent. This shift under new CAQ leader Christine Fréchette has lifted trader consensus on CAQ finishing second, reflected in its elevated market price. Regional strength outside Montreal and among older voters supports CAQ's position in seat projections, though the race remains fluid with 42 percent of decided voters open to changing preferences. The October 5 election timeline and ongoing campaign debates continue to shape these implied probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,945Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 29 percent while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed into second place at roughly 23–24 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party at 22 percent and the Parti conservateur du Québec at 15 percent. This shift under new CAQ leader Christine Fréchette has lifted trader consensus on CAQ finishing second, reflected in its elevated market price. Regional strength outside Montreal and among older voters supports CAQ's position in seat projections, though the race remains fluid with 42 percent of decided voters open to changing preferences. The October 5 election timeline and ongoing campaign debates continue to shape these implied probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$16,945Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 29 percent while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed into second place at roughly 23–24 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party at 22 percent and the Parti conservateur du Québec at 15 percent. This shift under new CAQ leader Christine Fréchette has lifted trader consensus on CAQ finishing second, reflected in its elevated market price. Regional strength outside Montreal and among older voters supports CAQ's position in seat projections, though the race remains fluid with 42 percent of decided voters open to changing preferences. The October 5 election timeline and ongoing campaign debates continue to shape these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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