Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+20, encompassing western Portland suburbs and rural northwest areas where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 86.6% of the vote and has consistently won general elections by wide margins, including 68.6% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Barbara Kahl, the Republican nominee who won her primary with 71.5%, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a severe national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or major turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
$27,452 Vol.
$27,452 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Suzanne Bonamici (D)
96%
Barbara Kahl (R)
3%
$27,452 Vol.
$27,452 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Suzanne Bonamici (D)
$10,566 Vol.
96%
Barbara Kahl (R)
$16,887 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+20, encompassing western Portland suburbs and rural northwest areas where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 86.6% of the vote and has consistently won general elections by wide margins, including 68.6% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Barbara Kahl, the Republican nominee who won her primary with 71.5%, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a severe national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or major turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,452Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+20, encompassing western Portland suburbs and rural northwest areas where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 86.6% of the vote and has consistently won general elections by wide margins, including 68.6% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Barbara Kahl, the Republican nominee who won her primary with 71.5%, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a severe national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or major turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,452Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+20, encompassing western Portland suburbs and rural northwest areas where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 86.6% of the vote and has consistently won general elections by wide margins, including 68.6% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Barbara Kahl, the Republican nominee who won her primary with 71.5%, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a severe national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or major turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
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