Recent allegations of domestic abuse against Republican incumbent Max Miller in a custody dispute have prompted a House Ethics Committee investigation, public rebukes from figures including Senator Bernie Moreno, and reduced GOP enthusiasm, shifting Ohio’s 7th district from a Republican stronghold to a toss-up per multiple rating outlets. Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker who won his May primary, has benefited from DCCC Red to Blue inclusion, increased union and party spending, and polls showing him ahead by 8–14 points in a district Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Trader consensus on Polymarket, reflected in the current 76% implied probability for Poindexter versus 23% for Miller, tracks these developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOH-07 House Election Winner
OH-07 House Election Winner
$53,574 Vol.
$53,574 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Poindexter (D)
76%
Max Miller (R)
23%
$53,574 Vol.
$53,574 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Poindexter (D)
$33,747 Vol.
76%
Max Miller (R)
$19,827 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent allegations of domestic abuse against Republican incumbent Max Miller in a custody dispute have prompted a House Ethics Committee investigation, public rebukes from figures including Senator Bernie Moreno, and reduced GOP enthusiasm, shifting Ohio’s 7th district from a Republican stronghold to a toss-up per multiple rating outlets. Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker who won his May primary, has benefited from DCCC Red to Blue inclusion, increased union and party spending, and polls showing him ahead by 8–14 points in a district Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Trader consensus on Polymarket, reflected in the current 76% implied probability for Poindexter versus 23% for Miller, tracks these developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$53,574Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent allegations of domestic abuse against Republican incumbent Max Miller in a custody dispute have prompted a House Ethics Committee investigation, public rebukes from figures including Senator Bernie Moreno, and reduced GOP enthusiasm, shifting Ohio’s 7th district from a Republican stronghold to a toss-up per multiple rating outlets. Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker who won his May primary, has benefited from DCCC Red to Blue inclusion, increased union and party spending, and polls showing him ahead by 8–14 points in a district Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Trader consensus on Polymarket, reflected in the current 76% implied probability for Poindexter versus 23% for Miller, tracks these developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,574Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent allegations of domestic abuse against Republican incumbent Max Miller in a custody dispute have prompted a House Ethics Committee investigation, public rebukes from figures including Senator Bernie Moreno, and reduced GOP enthusiasm, shifting Ohio’s 7th district from a Republican stronghold to a toss-up per multiple rating outlets. Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker who won his May primary, has benefited from DCCC Red to Blue inclusion, increased union and party spending, and polls showing him ahead by 8–14 points in a district Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Trader consensus on Polymarket, reflected in the current 76% implied probability for Poindexter versus 23% for Miller, tracks these developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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