Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic performance and her primary strength. The district carries a Cook PVI of D+32 and delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Omar's 2024 general election victory. Omar secured the Democratic nomination with more than 80% of the primary vote on August 11 against several challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a fragmented GOP primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the low likelihood of an upset. Potential shifts could stem from late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout changes, though structural factors limit realistic pathways for the Republican candidate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$49,097 Vol.
$49,097 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ilhan Omar (D)
98%
John Nagel (R)
1%
$49,097 Vol.
$49,097 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ilhan Omar (D)
$18,221 Vol.
98%
John Nagel (R)
$30,876 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic performance and her primary strength. The district carries a Cook PVI of D+32 and delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Omar's 2024 general election victory. Omar secured the Democratic nomination with more than 80% of the primary vote on August 11 against several challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a fragmented GOP primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the low likelihood of an upset. Potential shifts could stem from late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout changes, though structural factors limit realistic pathways for the Republican candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$49,097Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic performance and her primary strength. The district carries a Cook PVI of D+32 and delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Omar's 2024 general election victory. Omar secured the Democratic nomination with more than 80% of the primary vote on August 11 against several challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a fragmented GOP primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the low likelihood of an upset. Potential shifts could stem from late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout changes, though structural factors limit realistic pathways for the Republican candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,097Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic performance and her primary strength. The district carries a Cook PVI of D+32 and delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Omar's 2024 general election victory. Omar secured the Democratic nomination with more than 80% of the primary vote on August 11 against several challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a fragmented GOP primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the low likelihood of an upset. Potential shifts could stem from late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout changes, though structural factors limit realistic pathways for the Republican candidate.
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