April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in Maryland’s Sixth Congressional District due to its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and her status as the incumbent following a June 2026 primary victory over former Representative David Trone. The district’s partisan voter index and voter registration patterns favor Democrats, limiting the path for Republican nominee Robin Ficker despite his primary win. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the 94.5% implied probability for Delaney, consistent with historical performance in similar districts. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen events in the final weeks before the November 3 general election, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMD-06 House Election Winner
MD-06 House Election Winner
$32,975 Vol.
$32,975 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
April McClain Delaney (D)
95%
Robin Ficker (R)
6%
$32,975 Vol.
$32,975 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
April McClain Delaney (D)
$20,115 Vol.
95%
Robin Ficker (R)
$12,860 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in Maryland’s Sixth Congressional District due to its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and her status as the incumbent following a June 2026 primary victory over former Representative David Trone. The district’s partisan voter index and voter registration patterns favor Democrats, limiting the path for Republican nominee Robin Ficker despite his primary win. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the 94.5% implied probability for Delaney, consistent with historical performance in similar districts. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen events in the final weeks before the November 3 general election, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$32,975Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in Maryland’s Sixth Congressional District due to its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and her status as the incumbent following a June 2026 primary victory over former Representative David Trone. The district’s partisan voter index and voter registration patterns favor Democrats, limiting the path for Republican nominee Robin Ficker despite his primary win. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the 94.5% implied probability for Delaney, consistent with historical performance in similar districts. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen events in the final weeks before the November 3 general election, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,975Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in Maryland’s Sixth Congressional District due to its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and her status as the incumbent following a June 2026 primary victory over former Representative David Trone. The district’s partisan voter index and voter registration patterns favor Democrats, limiting the path for Republican nominee Robin Ficker despite his primary win. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the 94.5% implied probability for Delaney, consistent with historical performance in similar districts. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen events in the final weeks before the November 3 general election, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
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