Incumbent Jim McGovern benefits from Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and repeated "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. McGovern secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the September 1, 2026 primary and faces no prominent Republican general-election challenger ahead of the November 3 vote, consistent with the seat's history of large Democratic margins. Traders assign his reelection a 94.5% implied probability, viewing the outcome as low-risk barring unforeseen developments such as a late-emerging independent candidate or significant personal or health-related disruption that could alter turnout dynamics in this reliably Democratic-leaning district.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$63,456 Vol.
$63,456 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Republican Party
5%
$63,456 Vol.
$63,456 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,228 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$28,228 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern benefits from Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and repeated "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. McGovern secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the September 1, 2026 primary and faces no prominent Republican general-election challenger ahead of the November 3 vote, consistent with the seat's history of large Democratic margins. Traders assign his reelection a 94.5% implied probability, viewing the outcome as low-risk barring unforeseen developments such as a late-emerging independent candidate or significant personal or health-related disruption that could alter turnout dynamics in this reliably Democratic-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$63,456Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern benefits from Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and repeated "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. McGovern secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the September 1, 2026 primary and faces no prominent Republican general-election challenger ahead of the November 3 vote, consistent with the seat's history of large Democratic margins. Traders assign his reelection a 94.5% implied probability, viewing the outcome as low-risk barring unforeseen developments such as a late-emerging independent candidate or significant personal or health-related disruption that could alter turnout dynamics in this reliably Democratic-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,456Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim McGovern benefits from Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and repeated "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. McGovern secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the September 1, 2026 primary and faces no prominent Republican general-election challenger ahead of the November 3 vote, consistent with the seat's history of large Democratic margins. Traders assign his reelection a 94.5% implied probability, viewing the outcome as low-risk barring unforeseen developments such as a late-emerging independent candidate or significant personal or health-related disruption that could alter turnout dynamics in this reliably Democratic-leaning district.
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