Recent reports indicate Anthropic has shifted its IPO timeline from an October target to November 2026, driving the market's leading implied probability for that month. The company confidentially filed its S-1 with the SEC in June and is now expected to release the public prospectus in late September, begin investor marketing in mid-October, and complete the listing before the U.S. midterms. Strong revenue growth—annualized run rate already above $65 billion in July and projected to exceed $100 billion by year-end—supports a potential $2 trillion valuation and underpins trader confidence. Preparations include finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and possible anchor investment from Nvidia. While Q3 results and market conditions remain key swing factors, the compressed regulatory review and executive focus on transparency position November as the consensus window, with December as the primary alternative if minor delays occur.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNovember 2026 48.0%
December 2026 23.4%
January 2027 8.8%
March 2027 6.9%
$252,768 Vol.
$252,768 Vol.
September 2026
<1%
October 2026
3%
November 2026
48%
December 2026
23%
January 2027
9%
February 2027
4%
March 2027
7%
April 2027
2%
May 2027
1%
June 2027
1%
July 2027
1%
August 2027
<1%
September 2027
1%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
1%
December 2027
1%
No IPO before 2028
2%
November 2026 48.0%
December 2026 23.4%
January 2027 8.8%
March 2027 6.9%
$252,768 Vol.
$252,768 Vol.
September 2026
<1%
October 2026
3%
November 2026
48%
December 2026
23%
January 2027
9%
February 2027
4%
March 2027
7%
April 2027
2%
May 2027
1%
June 2027
1%
July 2027
1%
August 2027
<1%
September 2027
1%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
1%
December 2027
1%
No IPO before 2028
2%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports indicate Anthropic has shifted its IPO timeline from an October target to November 2026, driving the market's leading implied probability for that month. The company confidentially filed its S-1 with the SEC in June and is now expected to release the public prospectus in late September, begin investor marketing in mid-October, and complete the listing before the U.S. midterms. Strong revenue growth—annualized run rate already above $65 billion in July and projected to exceed $100 billion by year-end—supports a potential $2 trillion valuation and underpins trader confidence. Preparations include finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and possible anchor investment from Nvidia. While Q3 results and market conditions remain key swing factors, the compressed regulatory review and executive focus on transparency position November as the consensus window, with December as the primary alternative if minor delays occur.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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