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icon for How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
Politik·Immigration

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

icon for How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
Politik·Immigration

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

400-500k 80%

500-600k 10.4%

300-400k 9%

600-700k 1.8%

Polymarket

$125,033 Vol.

400-500k 80%

500-600k 10.4%

300-400k 9%

600-700k 1.8%

Polymarket

$125,033 Vol.

<200k

$10,589 Vol.

2%

200-300k

$9,864 Vol.

1%

300-400k

$15,103 Vol.

9%

400-500k

$8,493 Vol.

76%

500-600k

$6,588 Vol.

9%

600-700k

$5,767 Vol.

2%

700-800k

$41,938 Vol.

1%

800-900k

$12,882 Vol.

1%

900k-1m

$6,629 Vol.

1%

>1m

$7,178 Vol.

1%

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.**Trader consensus centers on 400-500k deportations for calendar year 2026, reflecting the current pace of ICE removals amid expanded interior enforcement.** Fiscal year 2026 data through mid-summer show roughly 356,000 removals at an average of about 1,200 per day, with arrests reaching record monthly highs near 50,000 while deportation volumes have risen more modestly due to detention capacity, flight logistics, and repatriation constraints. Self-deportation initiatives have added voluntary exits, yet formal removals remain the primary tracked metric. Sustained low border encounters have shifted focus inward, but legal and operational limits continue to shape outcomes within the leading range.

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.

The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$125,033
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.**Trader consensus centers on 400-500k deportations for calendar year 2026, reflecting the current pace of ICE removals amid expanded interior enforcement.** Fiscal year 2026 data through mid-summer show roughly 356,000 removals at an average of about 1,200 per day, with arrests reaching record monthly highs near 50,000 while deportation volumes have risen more modestly due to detention capacity, flight logistics, and repatriation constraints. Self-deportation initiatives have added voluntary exits, yet formal removals remain the primary tracked metric. Sustained low border encounters have shifted focus inward, but legal and operational limits continue to shape outcomes within the leading range.

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.

The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$125,033
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"How many people will Trump deport in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "400-500k" di 76%, diikuti oleh "300-400k" di 9%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 76¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 76% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "How many people will Trump deport in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $125K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "How many people will Trump deport in 2026?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "How many people will Trump deport in 2026?" adalah "400-500k" di 76%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 76% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "300-400k" di 9%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "How many people will Trump deport in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.