Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services and global models indicate mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong insolation over central Spain on September 24, supporting peak temperatures near 34 °C in Madrid. High-pressure dominance and dry boundary-layer conditions favor efficient daytime heating above the seasonal average of roughly 25 °C, while model consensus limits upside risk from stronger advection. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 34 °C and 35 °C together capturing over 93 % of probability as traders weigh minor forecast spreads in maximum readings. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
34°C 55%
35°C 40%
33°C 6%
36°C 4%
BARU
$29,407 Vol.
BARU
$29,407 Vol.
Sep 24, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
55%
35°C
40%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 55%
35°C 40%
33°C 6%
36°C 4%
BARU
$29,407 Vol.
BARU
$29,407 Vol.
Sep 24, 2026
29°C or below
$1,348 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,767 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,433 Vol.
1%
33°C
$4,383 Vol.
6%
34°C
$7,290 Vol.
55%
35°C
$7,914 Vol.
40%
36°C
$3,039 Vol.
4%
37°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,588 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$213 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services and global models indicate mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong insolation over central Spain on September 24, supporting peak temperatures near 34 °C in Madrid. High-pressure dominance and dry boundary-layer conditions favor efficient daytime heating above the seasonal average of roughly 25 °C, while model consensus limits upside risk from stronger advection. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 34 °C and 35 °C together capturing over 93 % of probability as traders weigh minor forecast spreads in maximum readings. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$29,407Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services and global models indicate mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong insolation over central Spain on September 24, supporting peak temperatures near 34 °C in Madrid. High-pressure dominance and dry boundary-layer conditions favor efficient daytime heating above the seasonal average of roughly 25 °C, while model consensus limits upside risk from stronger advection. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 34 °C and 35 °C together capturing over 93 % of probability as traders weigh minor forecast spreads in maximum readings. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,407Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services and global models indicate mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong insolation over central Spain on September 24, supporting peak temperatures near 34 °C in Madrid. High-pressure dominance and dry boundary-layer conditions favor efficient daytime heating above the seasonal average of roughly 25 °C, while model consensus limits upside risk from stronger advection. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 34 °C and 35 °C together capturing over 93 % of probability as traders weigh minor forecast spreads in maximum readings. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan