Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District toward a more Republican-leaning profile, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Dan Green over incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Green secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a narrow plurality in a crowded field, positioning him to capitalize on the district’s altered boundaries ahead of the November 3 general election. Soto advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Recent polling shows the candidates statistically tied among likely voters, though ratings from multiple forecasters now classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican. Green’s campaign has emphasized contrasts on tax relief measures and federal spending priorities, while the market-implied probability reflects the combined effects of the map changes and Green’s primary momentum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$19,843 Vol.
$19,843 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Dan Green (R)
64%
Darren Soto (D)
34%
$19,843 Vol.
$19,843 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Dan Green (R)
$11,628 Vol.
64%
Darren Soto (D)
$8,215 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District toward a more Republican-leaning profile, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Dan Green over incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Green secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a narrow plurality in a crowded field, positioning him to capitalize on the district’s altered boundaries ahead of the November 3 general election. Soto advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Recent polling shows the candidates statistically tied among likely voters, though ratings from multiple forecasters now classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican. Green’s campaign has emphasized contrasts on tax relief measures and federal spending priorities, while the market-implied probability reflects the combined effects of the map changes and Green’s primary momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$19,843Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District toward a more Republican-leaning profile, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Dan Green over incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Green secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a narrow plurality in a crowded field, positioning him to capitalize on the district’s altered boundaries ahead of the November 3 general election. Soto advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Recent polling shows the candidates statistically tied among likely voters, though ratings from multiple forecasters now classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican. Green’s campaign has emphasized contrasts on tax relief measures and federal spending priorities, while the market-implied probability reflects the combined effects of the map changes and Green’s primary momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,843Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District toward a more Republican-leaning profile, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Dan Green over incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Green secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a narrow plurality in a crowded field, positioning him to capitalize on the district’s altered boundaries ahead of the November 3 general election. Soto advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Recent polling shows the candidates statistically tied among likely voters, though ratings from multiple forecasters now classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican. Green’s campaign has emphasized contrasts on tax relief measures and federal spending priorities, while the market-implied probability reflects the combined effects of the map changes and Green’s primary momentum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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