Ted Lieu’s incumbency in the solidly Democratic CA-36 district, which encompasses parts of Los Angeles County including areas around UCLA, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability. Lieu captured over 60% in the June 2026 top-two primary against multiple challengers, while Houston Brignano advanced with roughly 15% as the leading Republican. Lieu’s established fundraising edge, committee roles, and alignment with district voter preferences have sustained his position, reinforced by a recent national generic ballot poll showing an 11-point Democratic advantage. Brignano’s limited campaign resources further constrain competitiveness. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national reversal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
$35,246 Vol.
$35,246 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ted Lieu (D)
95%
Houston Brignano (R)
5%
$35,246 Vol.
$35,246 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ted Lieu (D)
$6,302 Vol.
95%
Houston Brignano (R)
$28,944 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ted Lieu’s incumbency in the solidly Democratic CA-36 district, which encompasses parts of Los Angeles County including areas around UCLA, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability. Lieu captured over 60% in the June 2026 top-two primary against multiple challengers, while Houston Brignano advanced with roughly 15% as the leading Republican. Lieu’s established fundraising edge, committee roles, and alignment with district voter preferences have sustained his position, reinforced by a recent national generic ballot poll showing an 11-point Democratic advantage. Brignano’s limited campaign resources further constrain competitiveness. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national reversal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$35,246Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ted Lieu’s incumbency in the solidly Democratic CA-36 district, which encompasses parts of Los Angeles County including areas around UCLA, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability. Lieu captured over 60% in the June 2026 top-two primary against multiple challengers, while Houston Brignano advanced with roughly 15% as the leading Republican. Lieu’s established fundraising edge, committee roles, and alignment with district voter preferences have sustained his position, reinforced by a recent national generic ballot poll showing an 11-point Democratic advantage. Brignano’s limited campaign resources further constrain competitiveness. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national reversal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,246Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ted Lieu’s incumbency in the solidly Democratic CA-36 district, which encompasses parts of Los Angeles County including areas around UCLA, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability. Lieu captured over 60% in the June 2026 top-two primary against multiple challengers, while Houston Brignano advanced with roughly 15% as the leading Republican. Lieu’s established fundraising edge, committee roles, and alignment with district voter preferences have sustained his position, reinforced by a recent national generic ballot poll showing an 11-point Democratic advantage. Brignano’s limited campaign resources further constrain competitiveness. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national reversal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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