California's 29th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean of roughly D+19, reflected in incumbent Rep. Luz Maria Rivas's consistent double-digit victories. Following the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, Rivas and fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas advanced to the November general election after securing the top two spots, while the sole Republican candidate fell short. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee over 96% implied probability, consistent with the absence of a Republican general-election contender and historical voting patterns in the San Fernando Valley district. A late withdrawal, unforeseen legal development, or major scandal involving both Democratic candidates could theoretically alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current filings and campaign activity.
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CA-29 House Election Winner
$30,702 Vol.
$30,702 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$30,702 Vol.
$30,702 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,204 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$17,498 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 29th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean of roughly D+19, reflected in incumbent Rep. Luz Maria Rivas's consistent double-digit victories. Following the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, Rivas and fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas advanced to the November general election after securing the top two spots, while the sole Republican candidate fell short. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee over 96% implied probability, consistent with the absence of a Republican general-election contender and historical voting patterns in the San Fernando Valley district. A late withdrawal, unforeseen legal development, or major scandal involving both Democratic candidates could theoretically alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current filings and campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$30,702Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 29th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean of roughly D+19, reflected in incumbent Rep. Luz Maria Rivas's consistent double-digit victories. Following the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, Rivas and fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas advanced to the November general election after securing the top two spots, while the sole Republican candidate fell short. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee over 96% implied probability, consistent with the absence of a Republican general-election contender and historical voting patterns in the San Fernando Valley district. A late withdrawal, unforeseen legal development, or major scandal involving both Democratic candidates could theoretically alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current filings and campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,702Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 29th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean of roughly D+19, reflected in incumbent Rep. Luz Maria Rivas's consistent double-digit victories. Following the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, Rivas and fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas advanced to the November general election after securing the top two spots, while the sole Republican candidate fell short. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee over 96% implied probability, consistent with the absence of a Republican general-election contender and historical voting patterns in the San Fernando Valley district. A late withdrawal, unforeseen legal development, or major scandal involving both Democratic candidates could theoretically alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current filings and campaign activity.
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