Democrats' favored prospects of retaking the House in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that the chamber will approve articles of impeachment before the end of President Trump's term. Prediction markets currently price Democratic control of the House at roughly 70%, which would give the party a simple majority to advance impeachment resolutions starting in January 2027. Recent polling has shown a slim majority of Americans viewing grounds for impeachment as present, particularly over immigration enforcement actions, while multiple resolutions introduced by Rep. Al Green have failed under the current Republican majority. Democratic leaders have signaled willingness to pursue accountability measures if they gain control, though they have avoided advancing standalone efforts in the minority to focus on midterm messaging. The market reflects trader consensus on this procedural pathway rather than any Senate conviction outcome.