Several Republican-held seats, including Maine, Ohio (special), Texas, Alaska, and Iowa, along with the open Michigan contest, currently rank as the tightest 2026 Senate races according to polling averages and forecasters like Decision Desk HQ and the Economist model. A national environment favoring Democrats in generic ballot measures, combined with open seats from retirements in North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire plus contentious Republican primaries in Texas and elsewhere, has narrowed projected margins in these states to toss-up status. Recent August-September polling shifts have moved the overall Senate control forecast to a pure toss-up, with traders pricing Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, Ohio, and Texas highest for sub-1% finishes on November 3. Late-cycle events such as debates, turnout efforts in battleground states, and any shifts in the presidential approval environment could further compress or widen these margins before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
3 नव, 2026
Ohio (Special)
51%
Maine
22%
Texas
19%
Alaska
17%
New Hampshire
17%
Michigan
16%
Georgia
10%
Minnesota
9%
North Carolina
7%
New Mexico
4%
Colorado
4%
Montana
3%
Virginia
2%
Iowa
35%
Nebraska
42%
Florida (Special)
46%
$2,912 वॉल्यूम
Ohio (Special)
$84 वॉल्यूम
51%
Maine
$18 वॉल्यूम
22%
Texas
$52 वॉल्यूम
19%
Alaska
$208 वॉल्यूम
17%
New Hampshire
$269 वॉल्यूम
17%
Michigan
$177 वॉल्यूम
16%
Georgia
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
Minnesota
$109 वॉल्यूम
9%
North Carolina
$189 वॉल्यूम
7%
New Mexico
$274 वॉल्यूम
4%
Colorado
$945 वॉल्यूम
4%
Montana
$154 वॉल्यूम
3%
Virginia
$157 वॉल्यूम
2%
Iowa
$100 वॉल्यूम
35%
Nebraska
$106 वॉल्यूम
42%
Florida (Special)
$70 वॉल्यूम
46%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several Republican-held seats, including Maine, Ohio (special), Texas, Alaska, and Iowa, along with the open Michigan contest, currently rank as the tightest 2026 Senate races according to polling averages and forecasters like Decision Desk HQ and the Economist model. A national environment favoring Democrats in generic ballot measures, combined with open seats from retirements in North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire plus contentious Republican primaries in Texas and elsewhere, has narrowed projected margins in these states to toss-up status. Recent August-September polling shifts have moved the overall Senate control forecast to a pure toss-up, with traders pricing Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, Ohio, and Texas highest for sub-1% finishes on November 3. Late-cycle events such as debates, turnout efforts in battleground states, and any shifts in the presidential approval environment could further compress or widen these margins before Election Day.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,912समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several Republican-held seats, including Maine, Ohio (special), Texas, Alaska, and Iowa, along with the open Michigan contest, currently rank as the tightest 2026 Senate races according to polling averages and forecasters like Decision Desk HQ and the Economist model. A national environment favoring Democrats in generic ballot measures, combined with open seats from retirements in North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire plus contentious Republican primaries in Texas and elsewhere, has narrowed projected margins in these states to toss-up status. Recent August-September polling shifts have moved the overall Senate control forecast to a pure toss-up, with traders pricing Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, Ohio, and Texas highest for sub-1% finishes on November 3. Late-cycle events such as debates, turnout efforts in battleground states, and any shifts in the presidential approval environment could further compress or widen these margins before Election Day.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,912समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Several Republican-held seats, including Maine, Ohio (special), Texas, Alaska, and Iowa, along with the open Michigan contest, currently rank as the tightest 2026 Senate races according to polling averages and forecasters like Decision Desk HQ and the Economist model. A national environment favoring Democrats in generic ballot measures, combined with open seats from retirements in North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire plus contentious Republican primaries in Texas and elsewhere, has narrowed projected margins in these states to toss-up status. Recent August-September polling shifts have moved the overall Senate control forecast to a pure toss-up, with traders pricing Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, Ohio, and Texas highest for sub-1% finishes on November 3. Late-cycle events such as debates, turnout efforts in battleground states, and any shifts in the presidential approval environment could further compress or widen these margins before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न