Trader consensus centers on Ohio as the likeliest site of the narrowest 2026 gubernatorial margin, reflecting recent aggregates showing Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton in a statistical tie or within a few points in an open-seat race after term limits removed incumbent Mike DeWine. Alaska follows closely, with its open contest, ranked-choice voting, and fragmented Republican field creating potential for a razor-thin final round after recent ratings shifts to toss-up status. Nevada and Georgia rank next due to competitive dynamics—an incumbent Republican facing a strong Democratic challenger in the former and an open seat with polarized primaries in the latter—while Florida’s open race and other states like Iowa and Wisconsin show structural closeness but wider projected spreads. Late-cycle polling, debate outcomes, turnout patterns, and national midterm trends remain key variables that could narrow or widen these gaps before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाGeorgia 16.0%
ओहायो 14.6%
Alaska 12.3%
Nevada 11%
$19,775 वॉल्यूम
$19,775 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Georgia
17%
ओहायो
15%
Alaska
12%
Nevada
11%
फ्लोरिडा
8%
Iowa
7%
Kansas
5%
Oregon
5%
मिशिगन
4%
कोलोराडो
4%
Wisconsin
4%
Vermont
3%
New Hampshire
3%
Arizona
3%
Texas
2%
Minnesota
2%
New Mexico
2%
Maine
<1%
Georgia 16.0%
ओहायो 14.6%
Alaska 12.3%
Nevada 11%
$19,775 वॉल्यूम
$19,775 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Georgia
$1,055 वॉल्यूम
17%
ओहायो
$886 वॉल्यूम
15%
Alaska
$284 वॉल्यूम
12%
Nevada
$3,902 वॉल्यूम
11%
फ्लोरिडा
$996 वॉल्यूम
8%
Iowa
$1,875 वॉल्यूम
7%
Kansas
$3,304 वॉल्यूम
5%
Oregon
$346 वॉल्यूम
5%
मिशिगन
$379 वॉल्यूम
4%
कोलोराडो
$283 वॉल्यूम
4%
Wisconsin
$1,572 वॉल्यूम
4%
Vermont
$201 वॉल्यूम
3%
New Hampshire
$549 वॉल्यूम
3%
Arizona
$307 वॉल्यूम
3%
Texas
$2,753 वॉल्यूम
2%
Minnesota
$364 वॉल्यूम
2%
New Mexico
$343 वॉल्यूम
2%
Maine
$375 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus centers on Ohio as the likeliest site of the narrowest 2026 gubernatorial margin, reflecting recent aggregates showing Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton in a statistical tie or within a few points in an open-seat race after term limits removed incumbent Mike DeWine. Alaska follows closely, with its open contest, ranked-choice voting, and fragmented Republican field creating potential for a razor-thin final round after recent ratings shifts to toss-up status. Nevada and Georgia rank next due to competitive dynamics—an incumbent Republican facing a strong Democratic challenger in the former and an open seat with polarized primaries in the latter—while Florida’s open race and other states like Iowa and Wisconsin show structural closeness but wider projected spreads. Late-cycle polling, debate outcomes, turnout patterns, and national midterm trends remain key variables that could narrow or widen these gaps before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,775समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus centers on Ohio as the likeliest site of the narrowest 2026 gubernatorial margin, reflecting recent aggregates showing Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton in a statistical tie or within a few points in an open-seat race after term limits removed incumbent Mike DeWine. Alaska follows closely, with its open contest, ranked-choice voting, and fragmented Republican field creating potential for a razor-thin final round after recent ratings shifts to toss-up status. Nevada and Georgia rank next due to competitive dynamics—an incumbent Republican facing a strong Democratic challenger in the former and an open seat with polarized primaries in the latter—while Florida’s open race and other states like Iowa and Wisconsin show structural closeness but wider projected spreads. Late-cycle polling, debate outcomes, turnout patterns, and national midterm trends remain key variables that could narrow or widen these gaps before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$19,775समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on Ohio as the likeliest site of the narrowest 2026 gubernatorial margin, reflecting recent aggregates showing Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton in a statistical tie or within a few points in an open-seat race after term limits removed incumbent Mike DeWine. Alaska follows closely, with its open contest, ranked-choice voting, and fragmented Republican field creating potential for a razor-thin final round after recent ratings shifts to toss-up status. Nevada and Georgia rank next due to competitive dynamics—an incumbent Republican facing a strong Democratic challenger in the former and an open seat with polarized primaries in the latter—while Florida’s open race and other states like Iowa and Wisconsin show structural closeness but wider projected spreads. Late-cycle polling, debate outcomes, turnout patterns, and national midterm trends remain key variables that could narrow or widen these gaps before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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