Recent polling and forecasting models show multiple 2026 Senate contests clustered within a few points, with Texas, Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, and the Ohio special election emerging as the tightest based on current averages. Open seats in Michigan and Iowa, combined with strong challengers in Texas and Alaska, have narrowed margins compared to historical baselines in those states. Maine and Nebraska remain competitive due to candidate matchups and shifting turnout patterns. Traders appear to weigh recent surveys showing these races as toss-ups or near-toss-ups against structural factors like incumbency and state partisan lean. Upcoming debates, final fundraising reports, and any late national shifts could further consolidate or disperse support among these leading outcomes ahead of November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTexas 14%
Iowa 13.4%
Michigan 10.8%
Alaska 10%
$37,613 वॉल्यूम
$37,613 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Texas
14%
Iowa
13%
Michigan
11%
Alaska
10%
Ohio (Special)
9%
Nebraska
8%
Maine
8%
North Carolina
4%
Virginia
3%
Florida (Special)
3%
New Hampshire
3%
Georgia
2%
Minnesota
1%
New Mexico
1%
Montana
1%
Colorado
<1%
Texas 14%
Iowa 13.4%
Michigan 10.8%
Alaska 10%
$37,613 वॉल्यूम
$37,613 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Texas
$1,836 वॉल्यूम
14%
Iowa
$3,110 वॉल्यूम
13%
Michigan
$2,978 वॉल्यूम
11%
Alaska
$7,340 वॉल्यूम
10%
Ohio (Special)
$8,954 वॉल्यूम
9%
Nebraska
$360 वॉल्यूम
8%
Maine
$1,309 वॉल्यूम
8%
North Carolina
$851 वॉल्यूम
4%
Virginia
$5,073 वॉल्यूम
3%
Florida (Special)
$253 वॉल्यूम
3%
New Hampshire
$670 वॉल्यूम
3%
Georgia
$824 वॉल्यूम
2%
Minnesota
$1,494 वॉल्यूम
1%
New Mexico
$160 वॉल्यूम
1%
Montana
$1,344 वॉल्यूम
1%
Colorado
$1,057 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling and forecasting models show multiple 2026 Senate contests clustered within a few points, with Texas, Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, and the Ohio special election emerging as the tightest based on current averages. Open seats in Michigan and Iowa, combined with strong challengers in Texas and Alaska, have narrowed margins compared to historical baselines in those states. Maine and Nebraska remain competitive due to candidate matchups and shifting turnout patterns. Traders appear to weigh recent surveys showing these races as toss-ups or near-toss-ups against structural factors like incumbency and state partisan lean. Upcoming debates, final fundraising reports, and any late national shifts could further consolidate or disperse support among these leading outcomes ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$37,613समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling and forecasting models show multiple 2026 Senate contests clustered within a few points, with Texas, Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, and the Ohio special election emerging as the tightest based on current averages. Open seats in Michigan and Iowa, combined with strong challengers in Texas and Alaska, have narrowed margins compared to historical baselines in those states. Maine and Nebraska remain competitive due to candidate matchups and shifting turnout patterns. Traders appear to weigh recent surveys showing these races as toss-ups or near-toss-ups against structural factors like incumbency and state partisan lean. Upcoming debates, final fundraising reports, and any late national shifts could further consolidate or disperse support among these leading outcomes ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$37,613समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and forecasting models show multiple 2026 Senate contests clustered within a few points, with Texas, Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, and the Ohio special election emerging as the tightest based on current averages. Open seats in Michigan and Iowa, combined with strong challengers in Texas and Alaska, have narrowed margins compared to historical baselines in those states. Maine and Nebraska remain competitive due to candidate matchups and shifting turnout patterns. Traders appear to weigh recent surveys showing these races as toss-ups or near-toss-ups against structural factors like incumbency and state partisan lean. Upcoming debates, final fundraising reports, and any late national shifts could further consolidate or disperse support among these leading outcomes ahead of November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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