Michigan stands out among 2026 Senate toss-ups as the strongest Democratic opportunity because it is an open seat in a battleground state where recent polling shows Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow lead or statistical tie against Republican Mike Rogers. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, with El-Sayed benefiting from the state's mixed electorate and higher Democratic motivation in off-year voting. Maine remains competitive due to Susan Collins's reelection bid in a state carried by Democrats in the prior presidential contest, though the late nominee change to Troy Jackson introduced uncertainty. Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Iowa feature narrower Democratic paths tied to specific candidate matchups and state leans, keeping trader focus on Michigan's relative positioning ahead of November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामिशिगन 56%
मेन 14%
ओहायो 12.8%
टेक्सास 8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
मिशिगन
56%
मेन
14%
ओहायो
13%
टेक्सास
8%
अलास्का
6%
आयोवा
4%
मिशिगन 56%
मेन 14%
ओहायो 12.8%
टेक्सास 8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
मिशिगन
$2,811 वॉल्यूम
56%
मेन
$226 वॉल्यूम
14%
ओहायो
$371 वॉल्यूम
13%
टेक्सास
$134 वॉल्यूम
8%
अलास्का
$236 वॉल्यूम
6%
आयोवा
$129 वॉल्यूम
4%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan stands out among 2026 Senate toss-ups as the strongest Democratic opportunity because it is an open seat in a battleground state where recent polling shows Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow lead or statistical tie against Republican Mike Rogers. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, with El-Sayed benefiting from the state's mixed electorate and higher Democratic motivation in off-year voting. Maine remains competitive due to Susan Collins's reelection bid in a state carried by Democrats in the prior presidential contest, though the late nominee change to Troy Jackson introduced uncertainty. Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Iowa feature narrower Democratic paths tied to specific candidate matchups and state leans, keeping trader focus on Michigan's relative positioning ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,907समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan stands out among 2026 Senate toss-ups as the strongest Democratic opportunity because it is an open seat in a battleground state where recent polling shows Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow lead or statistical tie against Republican Mike Rogers. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, with El-Sayed benefiting from the state's mixed electorate and higher Democratic motivation in off-year voting. Maine remains competitive due to Susan Collins's reelection bid in a state carried by Democrats in the prior presidential contest, though the late nominee change to Troy Jackson introduced uncertainty. Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Iowa feature narrower Democratic paths tied to specific candidate matchups and state leans, keeping trader focus on Michigan's relative positioning ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$3,907समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Michigan stands out among 2026 Senate toss-ups as the strongest Democratic opportunity because it is an open seat in a battleground state where recent polling shows Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow lead or statistical tie against Republican Mike Rogers. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, with El-Sayed benefiting from the state's mixed electorate and higher Democratic motivation in off-year voting. Maine remains competitive due to Susan Collins's reelection bid in a state carried by Democrats in the prior presidential contest, though the late nominee change to Troy Jackson introduced uncertainty. Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Iowa feature narrower Democratic paths tied to specific candidate matchups and state leans, keeping trader focus on Michigan's relative positioning ahead of November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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