Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released in early September 2026, currently leads multiple independent leaderboards with composite scores around 96, excelling in agentic coding, reasoning, and knowledge-work benchmarks ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini variants. This recent performance edge, building on Anthropic's Mythos-class architecture and strong enterprise adoption signals, underpins the market's 74.5% implied probability for Anthropic to hold the top model by end-November. Traders appear to discount near-term disruption from rivals, even amid industry calls for slower capability releases due to safety concerns and related antitrust litigation, given the short timeline and Anthropic's demonstrated benchmark momentum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएंथ्रोपिक 75%
Meta 11%
Google 9%
अमेज़न 4.8%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
एंथ्रोपिक
75%
Meta
11%
9%
अमेज़न
5%
Meituan
3%
StepFun
3%
Thinky
3%
Nvidia
3%
ओपनएआई
2%
मूनशॉट
2%
अलीबाबा
2%
टेनसेंट
1%
Baidu
1%
बाइटडांस
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Z.ai
1%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
मिनीमैक्स
1%
मिस्त्राल
1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
1%
एंथ्रोपिक 75%
Meta 11%
Google 9%
अमेज़न 4.8%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
एंथ्रोपिक
$1,257 वॉल्यूम
75%
Meta
$284 वॉल्यूम
11%
$258 वॉल्यूम
9%
अमेज़न
$191 वॉल्यूम
5%
Meituan
$191 वॉल्यूम
3%
StepFun
$191 वॉल्यूम
3%
Thinky
$193 वॉल्यूम
3%
Nvidia
$180 वॉल्यूम
3%
ओपनएआई
$182 वॉल्यूम
2%
मूनशॉट
$182 वॉल्यूम
2%
अलीबाबा
$166 वॉल्यूम
2%
टेनसेंट
$186 वॉल्यूम
1%
Baidu
$145 वॉल्यूम
1%
बाइटडांस
$131 वॉल्यूम
1%
SpaceXAI
$170 वॉल्यूम
1%
Z.ai
$187 वॉल्यूम
1%
Xiaomi
$190 वॉल्यूम
1%
DeepSeek
$191 वॉल्यूम
1%
मिनीमैक्स
$191 वॉल्यूम
1%
मिस्त्राल
$231 वॉल्यूम
1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$260 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released in early September 2026, currently leads multiple independent leaderboards with composite scores around 96, excelling in agentic coding, reasoning, and knowledge-work benchmarks ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini variants. This recent performance edge, building on Anthropic's Mythos-class architecture and strong enterprise adoption signals, underpins the market's 74.5% implied probability for Anthropic to hold the top model by end-November. Traders appear to discount near-term disruption from rivals, even amid industry calls for slower capability releases due to safety concerns and related antitrust litigation, given the short timeline and Anthropic's demonstrated benchmark momentum.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,157समाप्ति तिथि
1 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released in early September 2026, currently leads multiple independent leaderboards with composite scores around 96, excelling in agentic coding, reasoning, and knowledge-work benchmarks ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini variants. This recent performance edge, building on Anthropic's Mythos-class architecture and strong enterprise adoption signals, underpins the market's 74.5% implied probability for Anthropic to hold the top model by end-November. Traders appear to discount near-term disruption from rivals, even amid industry calls for slower capability releases due to safety concerns and related antitrust litigation, given the short timeline and Anthropic's demonstrated benchmark momentum.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$5,157समाप्ति तिथि
1 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released in early September 2026, currently leads multiple independent leaderboards with composite scores around 96, excelling in agentic coding, reasoning, and knowledge-work benchmarks ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini variants. This recent performance edge, building on Anthropic's Mythos-class architecture and strong enterprise adoption signals, underpins the market's 74.5% implied probability for Anthropic to hold the top model by end-November. Traders appear to discount near-term disruption from rivals, even amid industry calls for slower capability releases due to safety concerns and related antitrust litigation, given the short timeline and Anthropic's demonstrated benchmark momentum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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