Google's repeated delays on the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped past July—drive the 89.5% market-implied odds of no Pro release by September 30. The model remains in partner testing without a firm public timeline, as internal benchmarks for coding and agentic performance have not yet been met. In its place, Google has maintained momentum with rapid Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash launched September 2, while shifting resources toward Gemini 4 pretraining. This pattern of postponed frontier releases amid steady lighter-model updates reinforces trader consensus that a Pro debut is unlikely before October.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 90%
30 सितंबर 4.0%
23 सितंबर 2.6%
24 सितंबर 1.6%
$83,467 वॉल्यूम
$83,467 वॉल्यूम
9 सित, 2026
9 सितम्बर
<1%
10 सितंबर
<1%
11 सितंबर
1%
12 सितंबर
1%
13 सितंबर
1%
14 सितंबर
<1%
15 सितंबर
1%
16 सितम्बर
1%
17 सितंबर
1%
18 सितंबर
<1%
19 सितंबर
1%
20 सितंबर
1%
21 सितंबर
1%
22 सितंबर
1%
23 सितंबर
3%
24 सितंबर
2%
25 सितम्बर
1%
26 सितंबर
1%
27 सितंबर
1%
28 सितंबर
1%
29 सितंबर
1%
30 सितंबर
4%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
90%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 90%
30 सितंबर 4.0%
23 सितंबर 2.6%
24 सितंबर 1.6%
$83,467 वॉल्यूम
$83,467 वॉल्यूम
9 सित, 2026
9 सितम्बर
$331 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10 सितंबर
$331 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11 सितंबर
$298 वॉल्यूम
1%
12 सितंबर
$302 वॉल्यूम
1%
13 सितंबर
$331 वॉल्यूम
1%
14 सितंबर
$404 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15 सितंबर
$542 वॉल्यूम
1%
16 सितम्बर
$538 वॉल्यूम
1%
17 सितंबर
$542 वॉल्यूम
1%
18 सितंबर
$305 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19 सितंबर
$302 वॉल्यूम
1%
20 सितंबर
$302 वॉल्यूम
1%
21 सितंबर
$532 वॉल्यूम
1%
22 सितंबर
$579 वॉल्यूम
1%
23 सितंबर
$459 वॉल्यूम
3%
24 सितंबर
$589 वॉल्यूम
2%
25 सितम्बर
$298 वॉल्यूम
1%
26 सितंबर
$300 वॉल्यूम
1%
27 सितंबर
$302 वॉल्यूम
1%
28 सितंबर
$480 वॉल्यूम
1%
29 सितंबर
$370 वॉल्यूम
1%
30 सितंबर
$818 वॉल्यूम
4%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
$69,279 वॉल्यूम
90%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped past July—drive the 89.5% market-implied odds of no Pro release by September 30. The model remains in partner testing without a firm public timeline, as internal benchmarks for coding and agentic performance have not yet been met. In its place, Google has maintained momentum with rapid Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash launched September 2, while shifting resources toward Gemini 4 pretraining. This pattern of postponed frontier releases amid steady lighter-model updates reinforces trader consensus that a Pro debut is unlikely before October.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$83,467समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped past July—drive the 89.5% market-implied odds of no Pro release by September 30. The model remains in partner testing without a firm public timeline, as internal benchmarks for coding and agentic performance have not yet been met. In its place, Google has maintained momentum with rapid Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash launched September 2, while shifting resources toward Gemini 4 pretraining. This pattern of postponed frontier releases amid steady lighter-model updates reinforces trader consensus that a Pro debut is unlikely before October.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$83,467समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Google's repeated delays on the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped past July—drive the 89.5% market-implied odds of no Pro release by September 30. The model remains in partner testing without a firm public timeline, as internal benchmarks for coding and agentic performance have not yet been met. In its place, Google has maintained momentum with rapid Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash launched September 2, while shifting resources toward Gemini 4 pretraining. This pattern of postponed frontier releases amid steady lighter-model updates reinforces trader consensus that a Pro debut is unlikely before October.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न