Anthropic holds a strong 77.7% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end-September because OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra overtook Claude Fable 5.1 by 35 points in early September community votes, reflecting superior multi-step web-app construction and tool use. Anthropic’s recent Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases remain competitive on related benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench Verified, supporting trader consensus that it trails only OpenAI among frontier labs. Lower odds for OpenAI at second (18.9%) and minimal shares for Moonshot, Alibaba, and others underscore the narrow gap between the top two while highlighting limited recent gains from competitors in live Code Arena evaluations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 78.0%
OpenAI 18.0%
अलीबाबा 2.6%
मूनशॉट 2.4%
$68,735 वॉल्यूम
$68,735 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
Anthropic
78%
OpenAI
18%
अलीबाबा
3%
मूनशॉट
2%
स्पेसएक्सएआई
1%
Tencent
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
मेटा
<1%
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
मिनीमैक्स
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
दीपसीक
<1%
थिंकी
<1%
पूलसाइड
<1%
मिस्त्राल
<1%
Anthropic 78.0%
OpenAI 18.0%
अलीबाबा 2.6%
मूनशॉट 2.4%
$68,735 वॉल्यूम
$68,735 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
Anthropic
$13,593 वॉल्यूम
78%
OpenAI
$7,977 वॉल्यूम
18%
अलीबाबा
$16,925 वॉल्यूम
3%
मूनशॉट
$12,101 वॉल्यूम
2%
स्पेसएक्सएआई
$2,291 वॉल्यूम
1%
Tencent
$1,731 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$1,852 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मेटा
$1,699 वॉल्यूम
<1%
$1,642 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$3,054 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिनीमैक्स
$598 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,468 वॉल्यूम
<1%
दीपसीक
$1,022 वॉल्यूम
<1%
थिंकी
$617 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पूलसाइड
$1,035 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिस्त्राल
$1,130 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a strong 77.7% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end-September because OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra overtook Claude Fable 5.1 by 35 points in early September community votes, reflecting superior multi-step web-app construction and tool use. Anthropic’s recent Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases remain competitive on related benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench Verified, supporting trader consensus that it trails only OpenAI among frontier labs. Lower odds for OpenAI at second (18.9%) and minimal shares for Moonshot, Alibaba, and others underscore the narrow gap between the top two while highlighting limited recent gains from competitors in live Code Arena evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$68,735समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a strong 77.7% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end-September because OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra overtook Claude Fable 5.1 by 35 points in early September community votes, reflecting superior multi-step web-app construction and tool use. Anthropic’s recent Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases remain competitive on related benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench Verified, supporting trader consensus that it trails only OpenAI among frontier labs. Lower odds for OpenAI at second (18.9%) and minimal shares for Moonshot, Alibaba, and others underscore the narrow gap between the top two while highlighting limited recent gains from competitors in live Code Arena evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$68,735समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a strong 77.7% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end-September because OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra overtook Claude Fable 5.1 by 35 points in early September community votes, reflecting superior multi-step web-app construction and tool use. Anthropic’s recent Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases remain competitive on related benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench Verified, supporting trader consensus that it trails only OpenAI among frontier labs. Lower odds for OpenAI at second (18.9%) and minimal shares for Moonshot, Alibaba, and others underscore the narrow gap between the top two while highlighting limited recent gains from competitors in live Code Arena evaluations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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