The market for the third-best AI agent lab by end of October reflects a tight contest, with trader consensus placing multiple outcomes near even odds amid rapid AI progress. Moonshot leads named contenders at 40.5% implied probability, ahead of SpaceXAI and OpenAI, while broader options like Other sit at 50%. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated agent capabilities in benchmarks, autonomous task completion, and integration with large language models, alongside factors such as funding rounds, talent acquisition, and platform partnerships. The short timeline to resolution amplifies uncertainty, as new model releases or capability demos could quickly shift positioning in this fast-evolving sector.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामूनशॉट 41%
Google 17.6%
स्पेसएक्सएआई 10.8%
OpenAI 9%
$24,044 वॉल्यूम
$24,044 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
मूनशॉट
41%
18%
स्पेसएक्सएआई
11%
OpenAI
9%
Z.ai
7%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
4%
अलीबाबा
4%
शाओमी
5%
एंथ्रॉपिक
3%
DeepSeek
1%
मेटा
1%
Baidu
1%
मिनीमैक्स
1%
Nvidia
1%
अमेज़न
1%
मिस्टरेल
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
<1%
मूनशॉट 41%
Google 17.6%
स्पेसएक्सएआई 10.8%
OpenAI 9%
$24,044 वॉल्यूम
$24,044 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
मूनशॉट
$10,352 वॉल्यूम
41%
$295 वॉल्यूम
18%
स्पेसएक्सएआई
$2,304 वॉल्यूम
11%
OpenAI
$6,005 वॉल्यूम
9%
Z.ai
$454 वॉल्यूम
7%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$257 वॉल्यूम
4%
अलीबाबा
$669 वॉल्यूम
4%
शाओमी
$262 वॉल्यूम
5%
एंथ्रॉपिक
$1,067 वॉल्यूम
3%
DeepSeek
$342 वॉल्यूम
1%
मेटा
$234 वॉल्यूम
1%
Baidu
$229 वॉल्यूम
1%
मिनीमैक्स
$229 वॉल्यूम
1%
Nvidia
$189 वॉल्यूम
1%
अमेज़न
$206 वॉल्यूम
1%
मिस्टरेल
$234 वॉल्यूम
1%
Meituan
$229 वॉल्यूम
1%
ByteDance
$488 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The market for the third-best AI agent lab by end of October reflects a tight contest, with trader consensus placing multiple outcomes near even odds amid rapid AI progress. Moonshot leads named contenders at 40.5% implied probability, ahead of SpaceXAI and OpenAI, while broader options like Other sit at 50%. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated agent capabilities in benchmarks, autonomous task completion, and integration with large language models, alongside factors such as funding rounds, talent acquisition, and platform partnerships. The short timeline to resolution amplifies uncertainty, as new model releases or capability demos could quickly shift positioning in this fast-evolving sector.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,044समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The market for the third-best AI agent lab by end of October reflects a tight contest, with trader consensus placing multiple outcomes near even odds amid rapid AI progress. Moonshot leads named contenders at 40.5% implied probability, ahead of SpaceXAI and OpenAI, while broader options like Other sit at 50%. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated agent capabilities in benchmarks, autonomous task completion, and integration with large language models, alongside factors such as funding rounds, talent acquisition, and platform partnerships. The short timeline to resolution amplifies uncertainty, as new model releases or capability demos could quickly shift positioning in this fast-evolving sector.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$24,044समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The market for the third-best AI agent lab by end of October reflects a tight contest, with trader consensus placing multiple outcomes near even odds amid rapid AI progress. Moonshot leads named contenders at 40.5% implied probability, ahead of SpaceXAI and OpenAI, while broader options like Other sit at 50%. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated agent capabilities in benchmarks, autonomous task completion, and integration with large language models, alongside factors such as funding rounds, talent acquisition, and platform partnerships. The short timeline to resolution amplifies uncertainty, as new model releases or capability demos could quickly shift positioning in this fast-evolving sector.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न