Tarcísio de Freitas, the incumbent Republicanos governor, holds a commanding lead in the October 4 first-round contest due to consistent polling strength and a consolidated field after earlier withdrawals by figures such as Kim Kataguiri and Paulo Serra. The latest Quaest survey from early September showed him at 42% against Fernando Haddad’s 27%, a 15-point margin that widened slightly from August, with smaller candidates at 1% or less and 14% undecided. This positioning, backed by a broad coalition including PL, MDB, PSD, and others, supports trader expectations of a first-round victory or decisive runoff edge. Remaining risks include late voter shifts among undecideds or turnout surprises in the final weeks before the October 25 potential second round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाटार्सीसियो डी फ्रेटास 98.2%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद <1%
एरिका हिल्टन <1%
किम कठागुरी <1%
$308,591 वॉल्यूम
$308,591 वॉल्यूम
3 अक्टू, 2026
टार्सीसियो डी फ्रेटास
98%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
1%
एरिका हिल्टन
1%
किम कठागुरी
<1%
मार्सियो फ्रांसा
<1%
टार्सीसियो डी फ्रेटास 98.2%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद <1%
एरिका हिल्टन <1%
किम कठागुरी <1%
$308,591 वॉल्यूम
$308,591 वॉल्यूम
3 अक्टू, 2026
टार्सीसियो डी फ्रेटास
$146,132 वॉल्यूम
98%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
$51,461 वॉल्यूम
1%
एरिका हिल्टन
$23,068 वॉल्यूम
1%
किम कठागुरी
$77,262 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मार्सियो फ्रांसा
$10,668 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas, the incumbent Republicanos governor, holds a commanding lead in the October 4 first-round contest due to consistent polling strength and a consolidated field after earlier withdrawals by figures such as Kim Kataguiri and Paulo Serra. The latest Quaest survey from early September showed him at 42% against Fernando Haddad’s 27%, a 15-point margin that widened slightly from August, with smaller candidates at 1% or less and 14% undecided. This positioning, backed by a broad coalition including PL, MDB, PSD, and others, supports trader expectations of a first-round victory or decisive runoff edge. Remaining risks include late voter shifts among undecideds or turnout surprises in the final weeks before the October 25 potential second round.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$308,591समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas, the incumbent Republicanos governor, holds a commanding lead in the October 4 first-round contest due to consistent polling strength and a consolidated field after earlier withdrawals by figures such as Kim Kataguiri and Paulo Serra. The latest Quaest survey from early September showed him at 42% against Fernando Haddad’s 27%, a 15-point margin that widened slightly from August, with smaller candidates at 1% or less and 14% undecided. This positioning, backed by a broad coalition including PL, MDB, PSD, and others, supports trader expectations of a first-round victory or decisive runoff edge. Remaining risks include late voter shifts among undecideds or turnout surprises in the final weeks before the October 25 potential second round.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$308,591समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Tarcísio de Freitas, the incumbent Republicanos governor, holds a commanding lead in the October 4 first-round contest due to consistent polling strength and a consolidated field after earlier withdrawals by figures such as Kim Kataguiri and Paulo Serra. The latest Quaest survey from early September showed him at 42% against Fernando Haddad’s 27%, a 15-point margin that widened slightly from August, with smaller candidates at 1% or less and 14% undecided. This positioning, backed by a broad coalition including PL, MDB, PSD, and others, supports trader expectations of a first-round victory or decisive runoff edge. Remaining risks include late voter shifts among undecideds or turnout surprises in the final weeks before the October 25 potential second round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न