Renan Santos, the Mission Party candidate in Brazil’s 2026 presidential race, has already joined the August 23 Band debate and faces multiple scheduled televised encounters through early October, including a September 14 pool event and later slots on Record and Globo. A September 1 TSE ruling by minister Dias Toffoli removed prior campaign restrictions tied to registration issues, explicitly restoring his eligibility for live debates and media appearances. Traders assign 96.5% implied probability to further participation because Santos remains an active, lower-polling contender who benefits from exposure, with no new legal or scheduling barriers reported. Late developments such as sudden candidate withdrawals, debate cancellations, or fresh court interventions could still shift the outcome before the October 3 resolution window closes.