Lula maintains a clear lead in first-round polling aggregates around 37-40 percent, positioning him as the frontrunner to top the October 4 ballot ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro of the PL, who trails in the low-to-mid 30s. Recent Quaest and Nexus surveys show the race tightening in runoff simulations, with the two candidates tied near 41 percent amid a Supreme Court dispute that opposition figures have linked to Lula's administration. Other registered candidates, including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, register in single digits and fragment the field without threatening the top two. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency in Brazil's two-round system, while acknowledging that late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could still influence first-round placement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयालूला 82%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 16%
रेनन सैंटोस <1%
रोनाल्डो काइयाडो <1%
$44,966 वॉल्यूम
$44,966 वॉल्यूम
लूला
82%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
16%
रेनन सैंटोस
<1%
रोनाल्डो काइयाडो
<1%
लेखक ऑगस्टो क्यूरी
<1%
रुई कोस्टा पिमेंटा
<1%
क्लारियाना बाराओ
<1%
हर्ज़ डियास
<1%
समारा
<1%
पशु चिकित्सक विल्सन ग्रासी
<1%
एडमिल्सन कोस्टा
<1%
ज़ेमा
<1%
पाब्लो मार्सल
<1%
लूला 82%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 16%
रेनन सैंटोस <1%
रोनाल्डो काइयाडो <1%
$44,966 वॉल्यूम
$44,966 वॉल्यूम
लूला
82%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
16%
रेनन सैंटोस
<1%
रोनाल्डो काइयाडो
<1%
लेखक ऑगस्टो क्यूरी
<1%
रुई कोस्टा पिमेंटा
<1%
क्लारियाना बाराओ
<1%
हर्ज़ डियास
<1%
समारा
<1%
पशु चिकित्सक विल्सन ग्रासी
<1%
एडमिल्सन कोस्टा
<1%
ज़ेमा
<1%
पाब्लो मार्सल
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
समाधान स्रोत
https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a clear lead in first-round polling aggregates around 37-40 percent, positioning him as the frontrunner to top the October 4 ballot ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro of the PL, who trails in the low-to-mid 30s. Recent Quaest and Nexus surveys show the race tightening in runoff simulations, with the two candidates tied near 41 percent amid a Supreme Court dispute that opposition figures have linked to Lula's administration. Other registered candidates, including Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, register in single digits and fragment the field without threatening the top two. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency in Brazil's two-round system, while acknowledging that late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could still influence first-round placement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
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क्या अगले ब्राज़ील राष्ट्रपति चुनाव में फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो को फेडरल डिस्ट्रिक्ट से सबसे अधिक वोट मिलेंगे?
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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