**OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3, 2026, quickly captured the top spot on Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard with a 1,797 Elo score, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 at 1,762.** This shift, driven by strong multi-step frontend agent performance in crowdsourced evaluations, has traders pricing Anthropic at 65.1% implied probability for second place by end-October. Claude models continue to lead broader coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench, supported by consistent agentic tool use and long-context handling. Lower-priced Chinese models from Moonshot (Kimi) and Z.ai (GLM) remain competitive on the arena but trail in trader consensus. Key near-term catalysts include any October model refreshes or further leaderboard updates that could alter relative positioning among frontier labs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 65.3%
OpenAI 20%
SpaceXAI 4.8%
अलीबाबा 5%
$18,952 वॉल्यूम
$18,952 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
Anthropic
65%
OpenAI
20%
SpaceXAI
5%
अलीबाबा
5%
DeepSeek
3%
2%
मूनशॉट
2%
मेटा
2%
पूलसाइड
1%
Z.ai
1%
ByteDance
1%
Xiaomi
1%
मिस्ट्रल
1%
Tencent
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Anthropic 65.3%
OpenAI 20%
SpaceXAI 4.8%
अलीबाबा 5%
$18,952 वॉल्यूम
$18,952 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
Anthropic
$3,005 वॉल्यूम
65%
OpenAI
$1,351 वॉल्यूम
20%
SpaceXAI
$585 वॉल्यूम
5%
अलीबाबा
$1,846 वॉल्यूम
5%
DeepSeek
$631 वॉल्यूम
3%
$669 वॉल्यूम
2%
मूनशॉट
$4,931 वॉल्यूम
2%
मेटा
$709 वॉल्यूम
2%
पूलसाइड
$969 वॉल्यूम
1%
Z.ai
$645 वॉल्यूम
1%
ByteDance
$660 वॉल्यूम
1%
Xiaomi
$409 वॉल्यूम
1%
मिस्ट्रल
$794 वॉल्यूम
1%
Tencent
$603 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Thinky
$656 वॉल्यूम
<1%
MiniMax
$489 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3, 2026, quickly captured the top spot on Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard with a 1,797 Elo score, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 at 1,762.** This shift, driven by strong multi-step frontend agent performance in crowdsourced evaluations, has traders pricing Anthropic at 65.1% implied probability for second place by end-October. Claude models continue to lead broader coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench, supported by consistent agentic tool use and long-context handling. Lower-priced Chinese models from Moonshot (Kimi) and Z.ai (GLM) remain competitive on the arena but trail in trader consensus. Key near-term catalysts include any October model refreshes or further leaderboard updates that could alter relative positioning among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,952समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3, 2026, quickly captured the top spot on Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard with a 1,797 Elo score, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 at 1,762.** This shift, driven by strong multi-step frontend agent performance in crowdsourced evaluations, has traders pricing Anthropic at 65.1% implied probability for second place by end-October. Claude models continue to lead broader coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench, supported by consistent agentic tool use and long-context handling. Lower-priced Chinese models from Moonshot (Kimi) and Z.ai (GLM) remain competitive on the arena but trail in trader consensus. Key near-term catalysts include any October model refreshes or further leaderboard updates that could alter relative positioning among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$18,952समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3, 2026, quickly captured the top spot on Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard with a 1,797 Elo score, edging Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 at 1,762.** This shift, driven by strong multi-step frontend agent performance in crowdsourced evaluations, has traders pricing Anthropic at 65.1% implied probability for second place by end-October. Claude models continue to lead broader coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench, supported by consistent agentic tool use and long-context handling. Lower-priced Chinese models from Moonshot (Kimi) and Z.ai (GLM) remain competitive on the arena but trail in trader consensus. Key near-term catalysts include any October model refreshes or further leaderboard updates that could alter relative positioning among frontier labs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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