Meta’s internal codename for its next frontier large language model after Muse Spark, Watermelon remains in training as of early September 2026 but has drawn trader attention from Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang’s July statements that the model already matches OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 on unspecified internal benchmarks while using roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor. The September 3 release of Muse Spark 1.3, with notable gains in coding and agentic capabilities, reinforced Meta’s rapid iteration pace and $125–145 billion infrastructure spend, yet Wang offered no firm Watermelon timeline beyond calling it “extremely competitive.” Market odds reflect uncertainty around verification of those benchmarks, potential slippage in an October target for public or API availability, and competition from faster-moving rivals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$12,498 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
30 सितंबर
5%
31 अक्टूबर
74%
30 नवंबर
93%
$12,498 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
$3,395 वॉल्यूम
5%
31 अक्टूबर
$6,384 वॉल्यूम
74%
30 नवंबर
$2,719 वॉल्यूम
93%
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s internal codename for its next frontier large language model after Muse Spark, Watermelon remains in training as of early September 2026 but has drawn trader attention from Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang’s July statements that the model already matches OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 on unspecified internal benchmarks while using roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor. The September 3 release of Muse Spark 1.3, with notable gains in coding and agentic capabilities, reinforced Meta’s rapid iteration pace and $125–145 billion infrastructure spend, yet Wang offered no firm Watermelon timeline beyond calling it “extremely competitive.” Market odds reflect uncertainty around verification of those benchmarks, potential slippage in an October target for public or API availability, and competition from faster-moving rivals.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,498समाप्ति तिथि
30 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s internal codename for its next frontier large language model after Muse Spark, Watermelon remains in training as of early September 2026 but has drawn trader attention from Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang’s July statements that the model already matches OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 on unspecified internal benchmarks while using roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor. The September 3 release of Muse Spark 1.3, with notable gains in coding and agentic capabilities, reinforced Meta’s rapid iteration pace and $125–145 billion infrastructure spend, yet Wang offered no firm Watermelon timeline beyond calling it “extremely competitive.” Market odds reflect uncertainty around verification of those benchmarks, potential slippage in an October target for public or API availability, and competition from faster-moving rivals.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$12,498समाप्ति तिथि
30 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Meta’s internal codename for its next frontier large language model after Muse Spark, Watermelon remains in training as of early September 2026 but has drawn trader attention from Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang’s July statements that the model already matches OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 on unspecified internal benchmarks while using roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor. The September 3 release of Muse Spark 1.3, with notable gains in coding and agentic capabilities, reinforced Meta’s rapid iteration pace and $125–145 billion infrastructure spend, yet Wang offered no firm Watermelon timeline beyond calling it “extremely competitive.” Market odds reflect uncertainty around verification of those benchmarks, potential slippage in an October target for public or API availability, and competition from faster-moving rivals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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