Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pará polling for the October 2026 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 37-41% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 29-31% and single-digit or lower support for candidates such as Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema. Traders reflect this regional edge through elevated implied probability for the incumbent, driven by sustained preferences in northern states tied to social program delivery, economic conditions, and voting patterns from prior cycles. National tightening between Lula and Flávio has not altered Pará-specific gaps, where rejection rates for the main challenger remain elevated. Late campaign developments, including debate performances, turnout shifts among key demographics, or unexpected alliances, could narrow margins before election day, though current data indicate limited immediate pressure on the frontrunner's position.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयालूला 94%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 4.5%
रोनाल्डो काइयाडो 1.9%
रुई कोस्टा पिमेंटा <1%
$17,480 वॉल्यूम
$17,480 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
लूला
94%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
5%
रोनाल्डो काइयाडो
2%
रुई कोस्टा पिमेंटा
<1%
हर्ट्ज़ डायस
<1%
वेटेरिनारियो विल्सन ग्रासी
<1%
क्लारियाना बाराओ
<1%
एडमिल्सन कोस्टा
<1%
पाब्लो मार्सल
<1%
समारा
<1%
लेखक ऑगस्टो क्यूरी
<1%
रेनेन सैंटोस
<1%
ज़ेमा
<1%
लूला 94%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 4.5%
रोनाल्डो काइयाडो 1.9%
रुई कोस्टा पिमेंटा <1%
$17,480 वॉल्यूम
$17,480 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
लूला
$8,201 वॉल्यूम
94%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
$1,214 वॉल्यूम
5%
रोनाल्डो काइयाडो
$574 वॉल्यूम
2%
रुई कोस्टा पिमेंटा
$555 वॉल्यूम
<1%
हर्ट्ज़ डायस
$857 वॉल्यूम
<1%
वेटेरिनारियो विल्सन ग्रासी
$1,289 वॉल्यूम
<1%
क्लारियाना बाराओ
$663 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एडमिल्सन कोस्टा
$658 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पाब्लो मार्सल
$685 वॉल्यूम
<1%
समारा
$698 वॉल्यूम
<1%
लेखक ऑगस्टो क्यूरी
$490 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रेनेन सैंटोस
$608 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ज़ेमा
$989 वॉल्यूम
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pará polling for the October 2026 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 37-41% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 29-31% and single-digit or lower support for candidates such as Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema. Traders reflect this regional edge through elevated implied probability for the incumbent, driven by sustained preferences in northern states tied to social program delivery, economic conditions, and voting patterns from prior cycles. National tightening between Lula and Flávio has not altered Pará-specific gaps, where rejection rates for the main challenger remain elevated. Late campaign developments, including debate performances, turnout shifts among key demographics, or unexpected alliances, could narrow margins before election day, though current data indicate limited immediate pressure on the frontrunner's position.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,480समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pará polling for the October 2026 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 37-41% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 29-31% and single-digit or lower support for candidates such as Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema. Traders reflect this regional edge through elevated implied probability for the incumbent, driven by sustained preferences in northern states tied to social program delivery, economic conditions, and voting patterns from prior cycles. National tightening between Lula and Flávio has not altered Pará-specific gaps, where rejection rates for the main challenger remain elevated. Late campaign developments, including debate performances, turnout shifts among key demographics, or unexpected alliances, could narrow margins before election day, though current data indicate limited immediate pressure on the frontrunner's position.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
वॉल्यूम
$17,480समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pará polling for the October 2026 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 37-41% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 29-31% and single-digit or lower support for candidates such as Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema. Traders reflect this regional edge through elevated implied probability for the incumbent, driven by sustained preferences in northern states tied to social program delivery, economic conditions, and voting patterns from prior cycles. National tightening between Lula and Flávio has not altered Pará-specific gaps, where rejection rates for the main challenger remain elevated. Late campaign developments, including debate performances, turnout shifts among key demographics, or unexpected alliances, could narrow margins before election day, though current data indicate limited immediate pressure on the frontrunner's position.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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