Current market-implied odds favor below-average September precipitation in London, with the 30-40 mm and sub-30 mm bins leading at 30.5% and 27.0%. This positioning reflects persistent high-pressure dominance over the UK, driven by a positive North Atlantic Oscillation phase and a northward-shifted jet stream that has suppressed Atlantic fronts so far this month. Official Met Office data through early September show rainfall totals tracking well below the 1991-2020 climatological mean of roughly 50 mm, while ensemble forecasts indicate limited recovery potential through the remainder of the month. Model spread remains notable due to potential late-September troughing, keeping the 40-60 mm range viable but secondary. Traders are weighting the dry signal from current synoptic patterns and seasonal analogs more heavily than longer-term ENSO-neutral conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासितंबर में लंदन में वर्षा?
सितंबर में लंदन में वर्षा?
<30mm 27%
30-40mm 27%
60-70mm 18%
40-50mm 17%
नया
नया
30 सित, 2026
<30mm
27%
30-40mm
27%
40-50mm
17%
50-60mm
16%
60-70mm
18%
70-80mm
<1%
80mm+
4%
<30mm 27%
30-40mm 27%
60-70mm 18%
40-50mm 17%
नया
नया
30 सित, 2026
<30mm
$3,425 वॉल्यूम
27%
30-40mm
$443 वॉल्यूम
27%
40-50mm
$368 वॉल्यूम
17%
50-60mm
$317 वॉल्यूम
16%
60-70mm
$280 वॉल्यूम
18%
70-80mm
$139 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80mm+
$144 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in September, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current market-implied odds favor below-average September precipitation in London, with the 30-40 mm and sub-30 mm bins leading at 30.5% and 27.0%. This positioning reflects persistent high-pressure dominance over the UK, driven by a positive North Atlantic Oscillation phase and a northward-shifted jet stream that has suppressed Atlantic fronts so far this month. Official Met Office data through early September show rainfall totals tracking well below the 1991-2020 climatological mean of roughly 50 mm, while ensemble forecasts indicate limited recovery potential through the remainder of the month. Model spread remains notable due to potential late-September troughing, keeping the 40-60 mm range viable but secondary. Traders are weighting the dry signal from current synoptic patterns and seasonal analogs more heavily than longer-term ENSO-neutral conditions.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in September, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 9:40 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,116समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 9:40 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in September, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current market-implied odds favor below-average September precipitation in London, with the 30-40 mm and sub-30 mm bins leading at 30.5% and 27.0%. This positioning reflects persistent high-pressure dominance over the UK, driven by a positive North Atlantic Oscillation phase and a northward-shifted jet stream that has suppressed Atlantic fronts so far this month. Official Met Office data through early September show rainfall totals tracking well below the 1991-2020 climatological mean of roughly 50 mm, while ensemble forecasts indicate limited recovery potential through the remainder of the month. Model spread remains notable due to potential late-September troughing, keeping the 40-60 mm range viable but secondary. Traders are weighting the dry signal from current synoptic patterns and seasonal analogs more heavily than longer-term ENSO-neutral conditions.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in September, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$5,116समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 9:40 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current market-implied odds favor below-average September precipitation in London, with the 30-40 mm and sub-30 mm bins leading at 30.5% and 27.0%. This positioning reflects persistent high-pressure dominance over the UK, driven by a positive North Atlantic Oscillation phase and a northward-shifted jet stream that has suppressed Atlantic fronts so far this month. Official Met Office data through early September show rainfall totals tracking well below the 1991-2020 climatological mean of roughly 50 mm, while ensemble forecasts indicate limited recovery potential through the remainder of the month. Model spread remains notable due to potential late-September troughing, keeping the 40-60 mm range viable but secondary. Traders are weighting the dry signal from current synoptic patterns and seasonal analogs more heavily than longer-term ENSO-neutral conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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