Recent UN Environment Programme assessments confirm that the 1.5°C threshold will be crossed in the coming years under current emissions trajectories, yet the Climate Clock's deadline—derived from remaining carbon budgets and observed CO2 emission trends—has remained anchored near late 2029 to 2030 in recent updates. With global emissions largely stable and no abrupt policy-driven drops projected through year-end, the three-month update cycle makes a material shift by December 31, 2026, improbable. Trader consensus at 90.5% reflects this inertia, though a surprise downward revision in carbon budget estimates or accelerated renewable deployment could still alter the displayed date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या जलवायु घड़ी की 1.5 डिग्री सेल्सियस की समय सीमा... तक बदल जाएगी?
क्या जलवायु घड़ी की 1.5 डिग्री सेल्सियस की समय सीमा... तक बदल जाएगी?
10% संभावना
$13,265 वॉल्यूम
$13,265 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
10% संभावना
$13,265 वॉल्यूम
$13,265 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.Recent UN Environment Programme assessments confirm that the 1.5°C threshold will be crossed in the coming years under current emissions trajectories, yet the Climate Clock's deadline—derived from remaining carbon budgets and observed CO2 emission trends—has remained anchored near late 2029 to 2030 in recent updates. With global emissions largely stable and no abrupt policy-driven drops projected through year-end, the three-month update cycle makes a material shift by December 31, 2026, improbable. Trader consensus at 90.5% reflects this inertia, though a surprise downward revision in carbon budget estimates or accelerated renewable deployment could still alter the displayed date.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,265समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://climateclock.worldरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.Recent UN Environment Programme assessments confirm that the 1.5°C threshold will be crossed in the coming years under current emissions trajectories, yet the Climate Clock's deadline—derived from remaining carbon budgets and observed CO2 emission trends—has remained anchored near late 2029 to 2030 in recent updates. With global emissions largely stable and no abrupt policy-driven drops projected through year-end, the three-month update cycle makes a material shift by December 31, 2026, improbable. Trader consensus at 90.5% reflects this inertia, though a surprise downward revision in carbon budget estimates or accelerated renewable deployment could still alter the displayed date.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
वॉल्यूम
$13,265समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://climateclock.worldरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent UN Environment Programme assessments confirm that the 1.5°C threshold will be crossed in the coming years under current emissions trajectories, yet the Climate Clock's deadline—derived from remaining carbon budgets and observed CO2 emission trends—has remained anchored near late 2029 to 2030 in recent updates. With global emissions largely stable and no abrupt policy-driven drops projected through year-end, the three-month update cycle makes a material shift by December 31, 2026, improbable. Trader consensus at 90.5% reflects this inertia, though a surprise downward revision in carbon budget estimates or accelerated renewable deployment could still alter the displayed date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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