Skip to main content

US में ट्रेड करने के लिए polymarket.us पर जाएं

icon for रिकॉर्ड पर सबसे गर्म वर्षों में 2026 का स्थान कहाँ होगा?
जलवायु और विज्ञान·मौसम और विज्ञान

रिकॉर्ड पर सबसे गर्म वर्षों में 2026 का स्थान कहाँ होगा?

icon for रिकॉर्ड पर सबसे गर्म वर्षों में 2026 का स्थान कहाँ होगा?
जलवायु और विज्ञान·मौसम और विज्ञान

रिकॉर्ड पर सबसे गर्म वर्षों में 2026 का स्थान कहाँ होगा?

1 73%

2 27%

3 <1%

4 <1%

Polymarket

$3,466,061 वॉल्यूम

1 73%

2 27%

3 <1%

4 <1%

Polymarket

$3,466,061 वॉल्यूम

1

$622,882 वॉल्यूम

73%

2

$414,215 वॉल्यूम

27%

3

$510,802 वॉल्यूम

1%

4

$531,073 वॉल्यूम

<1%

5

$843,445 वॉल्यूम

<1%

6 या उससे कम

$543,644 वॉल्यूम

<1%

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Recent record global temperatures, driven by long-term greenhouse gas warming and a strengthening very strong El Niño in the equatorial Pacific, have positioned 2026 as a strong contender for the warmest year on record. August 2026 set or tied the highest monthly global average in datasets from NOAA, NASA, and Copernicus, at roughly 1.65°C above pre-industrial levels, while January–August ranked second behind 2024. El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.5°C and forecasts peaking higher into late 2026, typically add heat with a lag that favors elevated temperatures through year-end. Historical analogs and model consensus suggest this combination could close the gap with 2024, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring a top-two finish amid ongoing data releases from agencies tracking anomalies and ENSO indices.

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.

Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.

If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.

This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$3,466,061
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Recent record global temperatures, driven by long-term greenhouse gas warming and a strengthening very strong El Niño in the equatorial Pacific, have positioned 2026 as a strong contender for the warmest year on record. August 2026 set or tied the highest monthly global average in datasets from NOAA, NASA, and Copernicus, at roughly 1.65°C above pre-industrial levels, while January–August ranked second behind 2024. El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.5°C and forecasts peaking higher into late 2026, typically add heat with a lag that favors elevated temperatures through year-end. Historical analogs and model consensus suggest this combination could close the gap with 2024, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring a top-two finish amid ongoing data releases from agencies tracking anomalies and ENSO indices.

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.

Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.

If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.

This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$3,466,061
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x2F5e3684c...

संबंधित

icon for क्या सितंबर 2026 अब तक का दूसरा सबसे गर्म महीना होगा?

क्या सितंबर 2026 अब तक का दूसरा सबसे गर्म महीना होगा?

97%
हाँ
icon for क्या वैश्विक तापमान सितंबर 2026 में 1.35ºC और 1.39ºC के बीच बढ़ेगा?

क्या वैश्विक तापमान सितंबर 2026 में 1.35ºC और 1.39ºC के बीच बढ़ेगा?

45%
हाँ
icon for Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"रिकॉर्ड पर सबसे गर्म वर्षों में 2026 का स्थान कहाँ होगा?" Polymarket पर 6 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 1 73% (73¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 2 27% पर है।

आज तक, "रिकॉर्ड पर सबसे गर्म वर्षों में 2026 का स्थान कहाँ होगा?" ने कुल $3.5 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Nov 12, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"रिकॉर्ड पर सबसे गर्म वर्षों में 2026 का स्थान कहाँ होगा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 6 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"रिकॉर्ड पर सबसे गर्म वर्षों में 2026 का स्थान कहाँ होगा?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "1" 73% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "2" 27% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"रिकॉर्ड पर सबसे गर्म वर्षों में 2026 का स्थान कहाँ होगा?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।