Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor, leads recent Quaest polling at 43% to João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, a margin within the 3-point error that still positions her for a potential outright win on valid votes. Trader pricing reflects her stronger municipal alliances across 139 of 184 Pernambuco cities and consistent polling edge since mid-2026, despite PT President Lula's endorsement of Campos and the PSB-PT alliance. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) remain below 2%, with no other contender showing viability to force a runoff. Recent campaign exchanges over alleged "hate cabinets" and Campos's efforts to close the gap have not yet shifted the narrow technical tie.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाराकेल लीरा 69%
जोआओ कैम्पोस 33%
इवान मोरायस <1%
$48,667 वॉल्यूम
$48,667 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
राकेल लीरा
69%
जोआओ कैम्पोस
33%
इवान मोरायस
<1%
राकेल लीरा 69%
जोआओ कैम्पोस 33%
इवान मोरायस <1%
$48,667 वॉल्यूम
$48,667 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
राकेल लीरा
$22,701 वॉल्यूम
69%
जोआओ कैम्पोस
$20,644 वॉल्यूम
33%
इवान मोरायस
$5,323 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor, leads recent Quaest polling at 43% to João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, a margin within the 3-point error that still positions her for a potential outright win on valid votes. Trader pricing reflects her stronger municipal alliances across 139 of 184 Pernambuco cities and consistent polling edge since mid-2026, despite PT President Lula's endorsement of Campos and the PSB-PT alliance. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) remain below 2%, with no other contender showing viability to force a runoff. Recent campaign exchanges over alleged "hate cabinets" and Campos's efforts to close the gap have not yet shifted the narrow technical tie.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$48,667समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor, leads recent Quaest polling at 43% to João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, a margin within the 3-point error that still positions her for a potential outright win on valid votes. Trader pricing reflects her stronger municipal alliances across 139 of 184 Pernambuco cities and consistent polling edge since mid-2026, despite PT President Lula's endorsement of Campos and the PSB-PT alliance. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) remain below 2%, with no other contender showing viability to force a runoff. Recent campaign exchanges over alleged "hate cabinets" and Campos's efforts to close the gap have not yet shifted the narrow technical tie.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$48,667समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor, leads recent Quaest polling at 43% to João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, a margin within the 3-point error that still positions her for a potential outright win on valid votes. Trader pricing reflects her stronger municipal alliances across 139 of 184 Pernambuco cities and consistent polling edge since mid-2026, despite PT President Lula's endorsement of Campos and the PSB-PT alliance. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) remain below 2%, with no other contender showing viability to force a runoff. Recent campaign exchanges over alleged "hate cabinets" and Campos's efforts to close the gap have not yet shifted the narrow technical tie.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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