Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Mexico Senate race due to his established record since 2021, strong primary performance, and the state's consistent Democratic lean, including Kamala Harris's 2024 margin. Republican Larry Marker advanced only as a write-in after the primary filer was disqualified, leaving him with low visibility, limited funding, and no major-party infrastructure. A late August poll showed Luján leading 53-38 among likely voters, consistent with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96.9% for Luján reflects this structural edge and funding disparity. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter outcomes before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयान्यू मैक्सिको सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
न्यू मैक्सिको सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
$25,938 वॉल्यूम
$25,938 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
बेन रे लुजान (डेमोक्रेट)
97%
लैरी मार्कर (रिपब्लिकन)
4%
$25,938 वॉल्यूम
$25,938 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
बेन रे लुजान (डेमोक्रेट)
$16,679 वॉल्यूम
97%
लैरी मार्कर (रिपब्लिकन)
$9,258 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Mexico Senate race due to his established record since 2021, strong primary performance, and the state's consistent Democratic lean, including Kamala Harris's 2024 margin. Republican Larry Marker advanced only as a write-in after the primary filer was disqualified, leaving him with low visibility, limited funding, and no major-party infrastructure. A late August poll showed Luján leading 53-38 among likely voters, consistent with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96.9% for Luján reflects this structural edge and funding disparity. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter outcomes before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,938समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Mexico Senate race due to his established record since 2021, strong primary performance, and the state's consistent Democratic lean, including Kamala Harris's 2024 margin. Republican Larry Marker advanced only as a write-in after the primary filer was disqualified, leaving him with low visibility, limited funding, and no major-party infrastructure. A late August poll showed Luján leading 53-38 among likely voters, consistent with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96.9% for Luján reflects this structural edge and funding disparity. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter outcomes before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$25,938समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Mexico Senate race due to his established record since 2021, strong primary performance, and the state's consistent Democratic lean, including Kamala Harris's 2024 margin. Republican Larry Marker advanced only as a write-in after the primary filer was disqualified, leaving him with low visibility, limited funding, and no major-party infrastructure. A late August poll showed Luján leading 53-38 among likely voters, consistent with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96.9% for Luján reflects this structural edge and funding disparity. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter outcomes before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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