Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District due to her long tenure, substantial campaign resources exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, and the seat’s consistent Republican lean under recent maps. Fred Wellman, the Democratic nominee and retired Army veteran who narrowly won his August 4 primary, brings name recognition from military service and veterans advocacy but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds in a district Trump carried by roughly eight points in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as Likely or Solid Republican. Ongoing litigation over Missouri’s congressional map adds some uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, though current trader consensus aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Wagner’s incumbency advantages.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
$15,180 वॉल्यूम
$15,180 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
एन वैगनर (रिपब्लिकन)
69%
फ्रेड वेलमैन (डी)
33%
$15,180 वॉल्यूम
$15,180 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
एन वैगनर (रिपब्लिकन)
$6,457 वॉल्यूम
69%
फ्रेड वेलमैन (डी)
$8,724 वॉल्यूम
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District due to her long tenure, substantial campaign resources exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, and the seat’s consistent Republican lean under recent maps. Fred Wellman, the Democratic nominee and retired Army veteran who narrowly won his August 4 primary, brings name recognition from military service and veterans advocacy but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds in a district Trump carried by roughly eight points in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as Likely or Solid Republican. Ongoing litigation over Missouri’s congressional map adds some uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, though current trader consensus aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Wagner’s incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,180समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District due to her long tenure, substantial campaign resources exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, and the seat’s consistent Republican lean under recent maps. Fred Wellman, the Democratic nominee and retired Army veteran who narrowly won his August 4 primary, brings name recognition from military service and veterans advocacy but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds in a district Trump carried by roughly eight points in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as Likely or Solid Republican. Ongoing litigation over Missouri’s congressional map adds some uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, though current trader consensus aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Wagner’s incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$15,180समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District due to her long tenure, substantial campaign resources exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, and the seat’s consistent Republican lean under recent maps. Fred Wellman, the Democratic nominee and retired Army veteran who narrowly won his August 4 primary, brings name recognition from military service and veterans advocacy but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds in a district Trump carried by roughly eight points in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as Likely or Solid Republican. Ongoing litigation over Missouri’s congressional map adds some uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, though current trader consensus aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Wagner’s incumbency advantages.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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