Wesley Bell holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Missouri’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Solid D or Safe D ratings from multiple forecasters and a partisan voting index exceeding D+29. Bell secured renomination in the August 2026 primary by defeating former Representative Cori Bush by more than 22 points, aided by substantial outside spending and endorsements from House Democratic leadership. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate, won a low-turnout primary with limited resources or visibility. Trader consensus pricing at 98% for Bell aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Bell’s 2024 general election margin above 55 points. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or major national political shift remain the primary theoretical paths that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
MO -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$36,834 वॉल्यूम
$36,834 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
वेस्ली बेल (डि)
98%
पॉल बैरी (रिपब्लिकन)
1%
$36,834 वॉल्यूम
$36,834 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
वेस्ली बेल (डि)
$22,863 वॉल्यूम
98%
पॉल बैरी (रिपब्लिकन)
$13,971 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Missouri’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Solid D or Safe D ratings from multiple forecasters and a partisan voting index exceeding D+29. Bell secured renomination in the August 2026 primary by defeating former Representative Cori Bush by more than 22 points, aided by substantial outside spending and endorsements from House Democratic leadership. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate, won a low-turnout primary with limited resources or visibility. Trader consensus pricing at 98% for Bell aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Bell’s 2024 general election margin above 55 points. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or major national political shift remain the primary theoretical paths that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,834समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Missouri’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Solid D or Safe D ratings from multiple forecasters and a partisan voting index exceeding D+29. Bell secured renomination in the August 2026 primary by defeating former Representative Cori Bush by more than 22 points, aided by substantial outside spending and endorsements from House Democratic leadership. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate, won a low-turnout primary with limited resources or visibility. Trader consensus pricing at 98% for Bell aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Bell’s 2024 general election margin above 55 points. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or major national political shift remain the primary theoretical paths that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$36,834समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Missouri’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Solid D or Safe D ratings from multiple forecasters and a partisan voting index exceeding D+29. Bell secured renomination in the August 2026 primary by defeating former Representative Cori Bush by more than 22 points, aided by substantial outside spending and endorsements from House Democratic leadership. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate, won a low-turnout primary with limited resources or visibility. Trader consensus pricing at 98% for Bell aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Bell’s 2024 general election margin above 55 points. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or major national political shift remain the primary theoretical paths that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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