The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's D+13 partisan lean and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern secured the party nomination in the September 1 primary with no significant opposition and enters the November 3 general election with prior margins above 68 percent. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the absence of credible Republican challengers in a state where Democrats have held every House seat since 1994. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected surge by an untested GOP candidate could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएमए -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
एमए -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$63,336 वॉल्यूम
$63,336 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जिम मैकगवर्न (डेमोक्रेट)
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
5%
$63,336 वॉल्यूम
$63,336 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जिम मैकगवर्न (डेमोक्रेट)
$35,228 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$28,108 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's D+13 partisan lean and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern secured the party nomination in the September 1 primary with no significant opposition and enters the November 3 general election with prior margins above 68 percent. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the absence of credible Republican challengers in a state where Democrats have held every House seat since 1994. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected surge by an untested GOP candidate could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$63,336समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's D+13 partisan lean and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern secured the party nomination in the September 1 primary with no significant opposition and enters the November 3 general election with prior margins above 68 percent. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the absence of credible Republican challengers in a state where Democrats have held every House seat since 1994. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected surge by an untested GOP candidate could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$63,336समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's D+13 partisan lean and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern secured the party nomination in the September 1 primary with no significant opposition and enters the November 3 general election with prior margins above 68 percent. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the absence of credible Republican challengers in a state where Democrats have held every House seat since 1994. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected surge by an untested GOP candidate could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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