Recent polling and Bobby Pulido’s strong name recognition in South Texas have driven trader consensus toward the Democrat at 61.5% implied probability against incumbent Monica De La Cruz at 38.5%. Pulido, a Tejano musician with deep local roots, won his March 2026 primary decisively and leads or trails narrowly in available surveys, capitalizing on the district’s majority-Latino electorate and concerns over costs and border issues. Redistricting completed in 2025 altered boundaries significantly, incorporating new areas where De La Cruz has limited prior exposure, though she retains a fundraising advantage and benefits from the seat’s recent Republican tilt. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Republican or Toss-up heading into November, underscoring sensitivity to turnout and late developments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$20,827 वॉल्यूम
$20,827 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
बॉबी पुलिडो (ड)
62%
मोनिका डे ला क्रूज़ (रिपब्लिकन)
39%
$20,827 वॉल्यूम
$20,827 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
बॉबी पुलिडो (ड)
$8,725 वॉल्यूम
62%
मोनिका डे ला क्रूज़ (रिपब्लिकन)
$12,102 वॉल्यूम
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling and Bobby Pulido’s strong name recognition in South Texas have driven trader consensus toward the Democrat at 61.5% implied probability against incumbent Monica De La Cruz at 38.5%. Pulido, a Tejano musician with deep local roots, won his March 2026 primary decisively and leads or trails narrowly in available surveys, capitalizing on the district’s majority-Latino electorate and concerns over costs and border issues. Redistricting completed in 2025 altered boundaries significantly, incorporating new areas where De La Cruz has limited prior exposure, though she retains a fundraising advantage and benefits from the seat’s recent Republican tilt. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Republican or Toss-up heading into November, underscoring sensitivity to turnout and late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,827समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling and Bobby Pulido’s strong name recognition in South Texas have driven trader consensus toward the Democrat at 61.5% implied probability against incumbent Monica De La Cruz at 38.5%. Pulido, a Tejano musician with deep local roots, won his March 2026 primary decisively and leads or trails narrowly in available surveys, capitalizing on the district’s majority-Latino electorate and concerns over costs and border issues. Redistricting completed in 2025 altered boundaries significantly, incorporating new areas where De La Cruz has limited prior exposure, though she retains a fundraising advantage and benefits from the seat’s recent Republican tilt. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Republican or Toss-up heading into November, underscoring sensitivity to turnout and late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$20,827समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling and Bobby Pulido’s strong name recognition in South Texas have driven trader consensus toward the Democrat at 61.5% implied probability against incumbent Monica De La Cruz at 38.5%. Pulido, a Tejano musician with deep local roots, won his March 2026 primary decisively and leads or trails narrowly in available surveys, capitalizing on the district’s majority-Latino electorate and concerns over costs and border issues. Redistricting completed in 2025 altered boundaries significantly, incorporating new areas where De La Cruz has limited prior exposure, though she retains a fundraising advantage and benefits from the seat’s recent Republican tilt. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Republican or Toss-up heading into November, underscoring sensitivity to turnout and late developments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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