Current forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds will drive Wellington’s overnight minimum to 6°C on September 12. Surface observations and satellite-derived boundary-layer data support this consensus, aligning with the 99.5% market-implied probability for a 6°C low. Historical September minima average near 9°C, so the cooler outcome reflects a transient high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and mixing. Traders assign negligible odds to 5°C or lower because model spread remains narrow and no cold-air advection is expected. A sudden increase in low-level cloud or a wind shift from the south could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, though such changes appear unlikely before official daily minimum reporting concludes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
12 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
6°C 100.0%
4°C या उससे कम <1%
5°C <1%
7°C <1%
$877 वॉल्यूम
$877 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
4°C या उससे कम
नहीं
5°C
नहीं
6°C
हाँ
7°C
नहीं
8°C
नहीं
9°C
नहीं
10°C
नहीं
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
6°C 100.0%
4°C या उससे कम <1%
5°C <1%
7°C <1%
$877 वॉल्यूम
$877 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
4°C या उससे कम
$153 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
5°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
6°C
$105 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
7°C
$45 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
8°C
$112 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
9°C
$191 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
10°C
$235 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
12°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
14°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds will drive Wellington’s overnight minimum to 6°C on September 12. Surface observations and satellite-derived boundary-layer data support this consensus, aligning with the 99.5% market-implied probability for a 6°C low. Historical September minima average near 9°C, so the cooler outcome reflects a transient high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and mixing. Traders assign negligible odds to 5°C or lower because model spread remains narrow and no cold-air advection is expected. A sudden increase in low-level cloud or a wind shift from the south could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, though such changes appear unlikely before official daily minimum reporting concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$877समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds will drive Wellington’s overnight minimum to 6°C on September 12. Surface observations and satellite-derived boundary-layer data support this consensus, aligning with the 99.5% market-implied probability for a 6°C low. Historical September minima average near 9°C, so the cooler outcome reflects a transient high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and mixing. Traders assign negligible odds to 5°C or lower because model spread remains narrow and no cold-air advection is expected. A sudden increase in low-level cloud or a wind shift from the south could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, though such changes appear unlikely before official daily minimum reporting concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$877समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Current forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds will drive Wellington’s overnight minimum to 6°C on September 12. Surface observations and satellite-derived boundary-layer data support this consensus, aligning with the 99.5% market-implied probability for a 6°C low. Historical September minima average near 9°C, so the cooler outcome reflects a transient high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and mixing. Traders assign negligible odds to 5°C or lower because model spread remains narrow and no cold-air advection is expected. A sudden increase in low-level cloud or a wind shift from the south could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, though such changes appear unlikely before official daily minimum reporting concludes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न