The contained April 2026 Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced roughly 13 cases and three deaths through limited person-to-person spread, remains the key driver behind the 97% market-implied probability against a 2026 hantavirus pandemic. Official CDC and WHO monitoring of hundreds of contacts, including 42-day quarantines, ended in June with no sustained transmission or U.S. cases detected. Andes virus, the only hantavirus with documented human-to-human transmission, still requires prolonged close contact and lacks the respiratory efficiency of pandemic pathogens like influenza or SARS-CoV-2. Broader 2025–2026 Argentine case counts stay consistent with seasonal rodent-borne patterns, without evidence of wider adaptation or exponential growth. Ongoing surveillance through public health agencies continues to show low global risk.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में हंटावायरस महामारी?
2026 में हंटावायरस महामारी?
हाँ
3% संभावना
$18,129,784 वॉल्यूम
$18,129,784 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
3% संभावना
$18,129,784 वॉल्यूम
$18,129,784 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The contained April 2026 Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced roughly 13 cases and three deaths through limited person-to-person spread, remains the key driver behind the 97% market-implied probability against a 2026 hantavirus pandemic. Official CDC and WHO monitoring of hundreds of contacts, including 42-day quarantines, ended in June with no sustained transmission or U.S. cases detected. Andes virus, the only hantavirus with documented human-to-human transmission, still requires prolonged close contact and lacks the respiratory efficiency of pandemic pathogens like influenza or SARS-CoV-2. Broader 2025–2026 Argentine case counts stay consistent with seasonal rodent-borne patterns, without evidence of wider adaptation or exponential growth. Ongoing surveillance through public health agencies continues to show low global risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,129,784समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The contained April 2026 Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced roughly 13 cases and three deaths through limited person-to-person spread, remains the key driver behind the 97% market-implied probability against a 2026 hantavirus pandemic. Official CDC and WHO monitoring of hundreds of contacts, including 42-day quarantines, ended in June with no sustained transmission or U.S. cases detected. Andes virus, the only hantavirus with documented human-to-human transmission, still requires prolonged close contact and lacks the respiratory efficiency of pandemic pathogens like influenza or SARS-CoV-2. Broader 2025–2026 Argentine case counts stay consistent with seasonal rodent-borne patterns, without evidence of wider adaptation or exponential growth. Ongoing surveillance through public health agencies continues to show low global risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$18,129,784समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The contained April 2026 Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced roughly 13 cases and three deaths through limited person-to-person spread, remains the key driver behind the 97% market-implied probability against a 2026 hantavirus pandemic. Official CDC and WHO monitoring of hundreds of contacts, including 42-day quarantines, ended in June with no sustained transmission or U.S. cases detected. Andes virus, the only hantavirus with documented human-to-human transmission, still requires prolonged close contact and lacks the respiratory efficiency of pandemic pathogens like influenza or SARS-CoV-2. Broader 2025–2026 Argentine case counts stay consistent with seasonal rodent-borne patterns, without evidence of wider adaptation or exponential growth. Ongoing surveillance through public health agencies continues to show low global risk.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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