**Forecast models point to southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air over Wellington on September 22, producing a minimum temperature most likely between 7–9 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those values.** Recent model runs from ACCESS-G, ECMWF, and GFS show a shift from northerly to southerly flow during the day, with highs near 12–13 °C and overnight clearing that favors radiative cooling under lighter winds. Historical September minima average about 9 °C, but the current pattern—following several days of 7–8 °C lows—supports the slightly cooler consensus. Key uncertainties include the exact timing of any evening showers and wind speeds after midnight, which could raise or lower the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C depending on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Updated MetService and international model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
22 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
6°C 40%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
7°C 39%
नया
नया
22 सित, 2026
4°C या उससे कम
1%
5°C
7%
6°C
40%
7°C
21%
8°C
32%
9°C
27%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C या उससे अधिक
4%
6°C 40%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
7°C 39%
नया
नया
22 सित, 2026
4°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
5°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
6°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
7°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
21%
8°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
32%
9°C
$6 वॉल्यूम
27%
10°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
14°C या उससे अधिक
$20 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air over Wellington on September 22, producing a minimum temperature most likely between 7–9 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those values.**
Recent model runs from ACCESS-G, ECMWF, and GFS show a shift from northerly to southerly flow during the day, with highs near 12–13 °C and overnight clearing that favors radiative cooling under lighter winds. Historical September minima average about 9 °C, but the current pattern—following several days of 7–8 °C lows—supports the slightly cooler consensus. Key uncertainties include the exact timing of any evening showers and wind speeds after midnight, which could raise or lower the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C depending on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Updated MetService and international model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air over Wellington on September 22, producing a minimum temperature most likely between 7–9 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those values.**
Recent model runs from ACCESS-G, ECMWF, and GFS show a shift from northerly to southerly flow during the day, with highs near 12–13 °C and overnight clearing that favors radiative cooling under lighter winds. Historical September minima average about 9 °C, but the current pattern—following several days of 7–8 °C lows—supports the slightly cooler consensus. Key uncertainties include the exact timing of any evening showers and wind speeds after midnight, which could raise or lower the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C depending on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Updated MetService and international model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$33समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models point to southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air over Wellington on September 22, producing a minimum temperature most likely between 7–9 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those values.** Recent model runs from ACCESS-G, ECMWF, and GFS show a shift from northerly to southerly flow during the day, with highs near 12–13 °C and overnight clearing that favors radiative cooling under lighter winds. Historical September minima average about 9 °C, but the current pattern—following several days of 7–8 °C lows—supports the slightly cooler consensus. Key uncertainties include the exact timing of any evening showers and wind speeds after midnight, which could raise or lower the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C depending on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Updated MetService and international model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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