Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader assessments for first place in the Federal District’s October 2026 Senate contest, where two seats are at stake, due to consistent polling leads of roughly nine points or more over the nearest rivals in recent surveys. Late-August and early-September data from Quaest and Real Time Big Data placed her at 25–26 percent voting intention, well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Erika Kokay (PT), and Bia Kicis (PL), who cluster in the low-to-mid teens; the remaining registered candidates register negligible support. Her candidacy, formalized in mid-August after internal PL deliberations, benefits from high name recognition tied to the former presidency, alignment with the party’s gubernatorial and senatorial slate, and concentrated backing among conservative voters in the district. The second seat remains more fluid, but first-place probabilities reflect the durable gap separating the frontrunner from the field.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामिशेल बोल्सोनारो 83%
लेइला दो वॉली 2.5%
बिया किक्स 1.4%
एरिका कोकाय 1.1%
$28,214 वॉल्यूम
$28,214 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
83%
लेइला दो वॉली
3%
बिया किक्स
1%
एरिका कोकाय
1%
गुटो फेलिसियो डॉस सैंटोस
<1%
एवेनिर रोसा
<1%
डेविड हॉर्न
<1%
प्रोफेसर गुइलहर्मे अमोरीम
<1%
रोनाल्डो फोंसेका
<1%
सेबास्टियाओ कोएल्हो
<1%
मार्ले
<1%
तियागो
<1%
जनाटा
<1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो 83%
लेइला दो वॉली 2.5%
बिया किक्स 1.4%
एरिका कोकाय 1.1%
$28,214 वॉल्यूम
$28,214 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
$12,178 वॉल्यूम
83%
लेइला दो वॉली
$4,157 वॉल्यूम
3%
बिया किक्स
$4,333 वॉल्यूम
1%
एरिका कोकाय
$2,021 वॉल्यूम
1%
गुटो फेलिसियो डॉस सैंटोस
$794 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एवेनिर रोसा
$801 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डेविड हॉर्न
$505 वॉल्यूम
<1%
प्रोफेसर गुइलहर्मे अमोरीम
$795 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रोनाल्डो फोंसेका
$674 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सेबास्टियाओ कोएल्हो
$556 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मार्ले
$381 वॉल्यूम
<1%
तियागो
$489 वॉल्यूम
<1%
जनाटा
$530 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader assessments for first place in the Federal District’s October 2026 Senate contest, where two seats are at stake, due to consistent polling leads of roughly nine points or more over the nearest rivals in recent surveys. Late-August and early-September data from Quaest and Real Time Big Data placed her at 25–26 percent voting intention, well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Erika Kokay (PT), and Bia Kicis (PL), who cluster in the low-to-mid teens; the remaining registered candidates register negligible support. Her candidacy, formalized in mid-August after internal PL deliberations, benefits from high name recognition tied to the former presidency, alignment with the party’s gubernatorial and senatorial slate, and concentrated backing among conservative voters in the district. The second seat remains more fluid, but first-place probabilities reflect the durable gap separating the frontrunner from the field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,214समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader assessments for first place in the Federal District’s October 2026 Senate contest, where two seats are at stake, due to consistent polling leads of roughly nine points or more over the nearest rivals in recent surveys. Late-August and early-September data from Quaest and Real Time Big Data placed her at 25–26 percent voting intention, well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Erika Kokay (PT), and Bia Kicis (PL), who cluster in the low-to-mid teens; the remaining registered candidates register negligible support. Her candidacy, formalized in mid-August after internal PL deliberations, benefits from high name recognition tied to the former presidency, alignment with the party’s gubernatorial and senatorial slate, and concentrated backing among conservative voters in the district. The second seat remains more fluid, but first-place probabilities reflect the durable gap separating the frontrunner from the field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$28,214समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader assessments for first place in the Federal District’s October 2026 Senate contest, where two seats are at stake, due to consistent polling leads of roughly nine points or more over the nearest rivals in recent surveys. Late-August and early-September data from Quaest and Real Time Big Data placed her at 25–26 percent voting intention, well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Erika Kokay (PT), and Bia Kicis (PL), who cluster in the low-to-mid teens; the remaining registered candidates register negligible support. Her candidacy, formalized in mid-August after internal PL deliberations, benefits from high name recognition tied to the former presidency, alignment with the party’s gubernatorial and senatorial slate, and concentrated backing among conservative voters in the district. The second seat remains more fluid, but first-place probabilities reflect the durable gap separating the frontrunner from the field.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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