The market-implied odds for 2026 world GDP growth cluster tightly around 3.0-3.1%, reflecting the IMF's maintained 3.0% baseline amid persistent Middle East conflict effects on energy prices. Higher oil costs have exerted downward pressure on activity and inflation, yet the global economy has demonstrated resilience through inventory drawdowns, fuel switching, and AI-related investment supporting U.S. and Asian demand. Recent OECD and consensus forecasts align near this range, with revisions tempered by elevated public debt near 100% of GDP and risks of further energy volatility ahead of winter. Traders appear focused on the balance between these headwinds and technological tailwinds, with the October IMF update likely serving as a key near-term catalyst for any sentiment shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 विश्व जीडीपी वृद्धि
2026 विश्व जीडीपी वृद्धि
3.1% 36.8%
3.0% 28.9%
≤2.9% 16.4%
3.2% 11.6%
$32,475 वॉल्यूम
$32,475 वॉल्यूम
14 जन, 2027
≤2.9%
16%
3.0%
29%
3.1%
37%
3.2%
12%
3.3%
3%
3.4%
5%
3.5%
2%
3.6%
3%
3.7%+
1%
3.1% 36.8%
3.0% 28.9%
≤2.9% 16.4%
3.2% 11.6%
$32,475 वॉल्यूम
$32,475 वॉल्यूम
14 जन, 2027
≤2.9%
$6,278 वॉल्यूम
16%
3.0%
$5,338 वॉल्यूम
29%
3.1%
$4,396 वॉल्यूम
37%
3.2%
$2,317 वॉल्यूम
12%
3.3%
$4,033 वॉल्यूम
3%
3.4%
$4,552 वॉल्यूम
5%
3.5%
$3,589 वॉल्यूम
2%
3.6%
$912 वॉल्यूम
3%
3.7%+
$1,060 वॉल्यूम
1%
This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”. Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook. If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If multiple World Economic Outlook Updates are released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve based on the first such publication which includes an estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in World GDP. Projections of World GDP, however, will not be considered.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following release or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports annual percent change in world real GDP to one decimal point (e.g. 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The market-implied odds for 2026 world GDP growth cluster tightly around 3.0-3.1%, reflecting the IMF's maintained 3.0% baseline amid persistent Middle East conflict effects on energy prices. Higher oil costs have exerted downward pressure on activity and inflation, yet the global economy has demonstrated resilience through inventory drawdowns, fuel switching, and AI-related investment supporting U.S. and Asian demand. Recent OECD and consensus forecasts align near this range, with revisions tempered by elevated public debt near 100% of GDP and risks of further energy volatility ahead of winter. Traders appear focused on the balance between these headwinds and technological tailwinds, with the October IMF update likely serving as a key near-term catalyst for any sentiment shifts.
This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”. Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook. If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If multiple World Economic Outlook Updates are released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve based on the first such publication which includes an estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in World GDP. Projections of World GDP, however, will not be considered.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following release or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports annual percent change in world real GDP to one decimal point (e.g. 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”. Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook. If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If multiple World Economic Outlook Updates are released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve based on the first such publication which includes an estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in World GDP. Projections of World GDP, however, will not be considered.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following release or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports annual percent change in world real GDP to one decimal point (e.g. 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 23, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,475समाप्ति तिथि
15 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 11:18 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”. Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook. If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If multiple World Economic Outlook Updates are released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve based on the first such publication which includes an estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in World GDP. Projections of World GDP, however, will not be considered.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following release or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports annual percent change in world real GDP to one decimal point (e.g. 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The market-implied odds for 2026 world GDP growth cluster tightly around 3.0-3.1%, reflecting the IMF's maintained 3.0% baseline amid persistent Middle East conflict effects on energy prices. Higher oil costs have exerted downward pressure on activity and inflation, yet the global economy has demonstrated resilience through inventory drawdowns, fuel switching, and AI-related investment supporting U.S. and Asian demand. Recent OECD and consensus forecasts align near this range, with revisions tempered by elevated public debt near 100% of GDP and risks of further energy volatility ahead of winter. Traders appear focused on the balance between these headwinds and technological tailwinds, with the October IMF update likely serving as a key near-term catalyst for any sentiment shifts.
This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”. Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook. If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If multiple World Economic Outlook Updates are released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve based on the first such publication which includes an estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in World GDP. Projections of World GDP, however, will not be considered.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following release or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports annual percent change in world real GDP to one decimal point (e.g. 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”. Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook. If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If multiple World Economic Outlook Updates are released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve based on the first such publication which includes an estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in World GDP. Projections of World GDP, however, will not be considered.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following release or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports annual percent change in world real GDP to one decimal point (e.g. 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$32,475समाप्ति तिथि
15 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 11:18 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...The market-implied odds for 2026 world GDP growth cluster tightly around 3.0-3.1%, reflecting the IMF's maintained 3.0% baseline amid persistent Middle East conflict effects on energy prices. Higher oil costs have exerted downward pressure on activity and inflation, yet the global economy has demonstrated resilience through inventory drawdowns, fuel switching, and AI-related investment supporting U.S. and Asian demand. Recent OECD and consensus forecasts align near this range, with revisions tempered by elevated public debt near 100% of GDP and risks of further energy volatility ahead of winter. Traders appear focused on the balance between these headwinds and technological tailwinds, with the October IMF update likely serving as a key near-term catalyst for any sentiment shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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