Incumbent Brian Babin holds a commanding position in Texas's 36th congressional district due to its strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent statewide races. Babin secured renomination easily in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart, who advanced from her primary but reports minimal campaign resources. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though low-probability shifts could arise from a national partisan wave, late-breaking scandal, or unexpected turnout surge in Democratic-leaning pockets such as parts of Harris County.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-36 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-36 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$30,119 Vol.
$30,119 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Brian Babin (R)
93%
Rhonda Hart (D)
7%
$30,119 Vol.
$30,119 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Brian Babin (R)
$8,417 Vol.
93%
Rhonda Hart (D)
$21,702 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brian Babin holds a commanding position in Texas's 36th congressional district due to its strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent statewide races. Babin secured renomination easily in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart, who advanced from her primary but reports minimal campaign resources. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though low-probability shifts could arise from a national partisan wave, late-breaking scandal, or unexpected turnout surge in Democratic-leaning pockets such as parts of Harris County.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$30,119Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brian Babin holds a commanding position in Texas's 36th congressional district due to its strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent statewide races. Babin secured renomination easily in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart, who advanced from her primary but reports minimal campaign resources. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though low-probability shifts could arise from a national partisan wave, late-breaking scandal, or unexpected turnout surge in Democratic-leaning pockets such as parts of Harris County.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,119Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Brian Babin holds a commanding position in Texas's 36th congressional district due to its strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent statewide races. Babin secured renomination easily in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart, who advanced from her primary but reports minimal campaign resources. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though low-probability shifts could arise from a national partisan wave, late-breaking scandal, or unexpected turnout surge in Democratic-leaning pockets such as parts of Harris County.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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